Ford Motor Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Ford Motor hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Ford Motor Company from the prospective of Ford Motor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford Motor over a specific investment horizon. Plese check Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Ford Motor After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Ford Motor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
9.21
January 24, 2020
9.13
After-hype Price
12.52
Upside
Ford Motor is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ford Motor Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10  1.13  0.01   0.00  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.219.130.11 
1,130  

Ford Motor Hype Timeline

As of January 24, 2020 Ford Motor is listed for 9.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Ford Motor Company is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 9.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1130.0%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.11% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Ford Motor is about 16142.86% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.21. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ford Motor last dividend was issued on 2020-01-29. The entity had 1748175:1000000 split on 2000-08-03. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Plese check Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Motor Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Ford Motor Company(0.1) 10 per month 1.49 (0.07)  1.82 (2.22)  8.17 
General Motors Company 0.23 5 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.44 (2.15)  7.92 
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N V(0.07) 11 per month 1.33 (0.06)  2.74 (1.98)  11.47 
Honda Motor Company Ltd 0.04 8 per month 0.84 (0.09)  1.44 (1.50)  5.60 
NIO(0.04) 10 per month 6.23  0.17  14.10 (14.70)  80.34 
Niu Technologies 0.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.0493)  3.84 (4.35)  15.71 
Kandi Technologies Group 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.54 (2.87)  14.42 
DAIMLER AG(0.60) 8 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.85 (4.32)  11.09 
Blue Bird Corporation 0.53 10 per month 1.86 (0.0138)  2.53 (2.02)  11.43 
SPDR Select Sector Fund Healt 0.00 0 per month 0.16 (0.18)  0.66 (0.70)  2.39 

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