Exponent Stock Price Prediction

EXPO Stock  USD 82.69  0.83  1.01%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Exponent's share price is approaching 41 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Exponent, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Exponent stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Exponent shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Exponent's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Exponent and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Exponent's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Exponent, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Exponent's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.57
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.98
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.16
Wall Street Target Price
88.5
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Exponent based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Exponent stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Exponent over a specific investment horizon. Using Exponent hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exponent from the perspective of Exponent response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Exponent using Exponent's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Exponent using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Exponent's stock price.

Exponent Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Exponent's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Exponent. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Exponent stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Exponent may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Exponent and may potentially protect profits, hedge Exponent with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
85.872
Short Percent
0.0394
Short Ratio
3.66
Shares Short Prior Month
1.4 M
50 Day MA
81.504

Exponent Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Exponent's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Exponent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Exponent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Exponent. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Exponent's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Exponent.

Exponent Implied Volatility

    
  42.6  
Exponent's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exponent stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exponent's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exponent stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exponent's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Exponent. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exponent to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exponent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Exponent after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 82.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Exponent contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Exponent will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.66% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Exponent trading at USD 82.69, that is roughly USD 2.2 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Exponent's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Exponent options at the current volatility level of 42.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Exponent Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Exponent Stock, please use our How to Invest in Exponent guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exponent's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.3582.8685.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.4779.9882.49
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
94.19103.50114.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.440.440.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Exponent. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Exponent's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Exponent's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Exponent.

Exponent After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Exponent at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exponent or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exponent, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Exponent Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Exponent's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exponent's historical news coverage. Exponent's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.18 and 85.20, respectively. We have considered Exponent's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
82.69
82.69
After-hype Price
85.20
Upside
Exponent is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exponent is based on 3 months time horizon.

Exponent Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exponent is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exponent backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exponent, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.49
  0.01 
  0.01 
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
82.69
82.69
0.00 
3,112  
Notes

Exponent Hype Timeline

Exponent is currently traded for 82.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Exponent is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Exponent is about 2234.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 82.70. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2024. Exponent had 2:1 split on the 8th of June 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Exponent Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Exponent Stock, please use our How to Invest in Exponent guide.

Exponent Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Exponent's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exponent's future price movements. Getting to know how Exponent rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exponent may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Exponent Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Exponent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exponent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exponent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Exponent Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Exponent stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exponent, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exponent based on analysis of Exponent hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exponent's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exponent's related companies.
 2016 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio11.7913.178.3913.83
Price Earnings Ratio57.1360.6844.8863.72

Story Coverage note for Exponent

The number of cover stories for Exponent depends on current market conditions and Exponent's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exponent is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exponent's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Exponent Short Properties

Exponent's future price predictability will typically decrease when Exponent's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Exponent often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Exponent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exponent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments187.2 M
When determining whether Exponent offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Exponent's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Exponent Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Exponent Stock:
Check out Exponent Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Exponent Stock, please use our How to Invest in Exponent guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

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When running Exponent's price analysis, check to measure Exponent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exponent is operating at the current time. Most of Exponent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exponent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exponent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exponent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Exponent's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exponent. If investors know Exponent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exponent listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Dividend Share
1.04
Earnings Share
1.94
Revenue Per Share
9.72
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.011
The market value of Exponent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exponent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exponent's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exponent's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exponent's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exponent's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exponent's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exponent is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exponent's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.