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EverQuote Stock Price Prediction

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EVER -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: May 4, 2020  

EverQuote Book Value per Share is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the last year. EverQuote reported last year Book Value per Share of 2.01. This year Current Ratio is likely to grow to 2.39, while Long Term Debt to Equity is likely to drop 2.27. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with EverQuote, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Continue to EverQuote Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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The EverQuote stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on EverQuote over a specific investment horizon. Using EverQuote hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EverQuote from the perspective of EverQuote response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

EverQuote After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

EverQuote Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
12.62
April 1, 2020
16.24
After-hype Price
86.38
Upside
EverQuote is very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EverQuote is based on 3 months time horizon.

EverQuote Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.78  23.38  20.40   1.61  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.6216.2435.97 
204.01  

EverQuote Hype Timeline

EverQuote is currently traded for12.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -20.4 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.61. EverQuote is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 16.23769784172662. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 204.01%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -35.97% where as daily expected return is currently at 1.78%. The volatility of related hype on EverQuote is about 2590.32% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.01. About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded loss per share of 0.51. EverQuote last dividend was issued on 2017-05-09. The entity had 3:2 split on 2013-11-22. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Continue to EverQuote Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

EverQuote Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Spark Networks(0.01) 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  7.11 (9.16)  30.26 
IACInterActiveCorp(3.91) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0113)  4.49 (6.48)  22.33 
IQIYI 0.19 10 per month 0.00  0.0422  6.35 (6.98)  17.34 
Jianpu Technology(0.01) 2 per month 0.00 (0.09)  6.42 (7.21)  27.15 
EverQuote(11.46) 9 per month 15.20  0.09  15.86 (23.53)  184.88 
Douyu International Holdings Ltd Ads(0.85) 5 per month 0.00  0.0302  6.82 (9.82)  29.80 
Groupon(0.0159) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0348)  14.11 (18.07)  57.23 
Phoenix New Media Limited 0.02 4 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.25 (5.73)  16.94 
Facebook 6.75 10 per month 0.00  0.0323  5.13 (6.40)  24.49 
Gaia 0.27 7 per month 4.30  0.11  10.31 (8.37)  24.30 

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Latest Perspective on EverQuote

Continue to EverQuote Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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