Energy Services Stock Price Prediction
| ESOA Stock | USD 7.26 0.18 2.54% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Energy Services stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Energy Services shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Energy Services' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Energy Services and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Energy Services' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Energy Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Energy Services' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 13.454 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.45 | Wall Street Target Price 10 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Energy Services based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Energy stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Energy Services over a specific investment horizon. Using Energy Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Energy Services from the perspective of Energy Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Energy Services. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Energy Services to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Energy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Energy Services after-hype prediction price | USD 7.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Energy |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Energy Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Energy Services After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Energy Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Energy Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Energy Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Energy Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Energy Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Energy Services' historical news coverage. Energy Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.08 and 13.08, respectively. We have considered Energy Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Energy Services is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Energy Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Energy Services Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Energy Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Energy Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Energy Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 6.01 | 0.04 | 0.40 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.26 | 7.08 | 0.00 |
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Energy Services Hype Timeline
Energy Services is currently traded for 7.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.4. Energy is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Energy Services is about 301.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.86. About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Energy Services was currently reported as 2.15. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Energy Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Energy Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Energy Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Energy Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Energy Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Energy Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EME | EMCOR Group | (4.12) | 11 per month | 0.54 | 0.32 | 2.81 | (1.75) | 12.73 | |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA | (12.50) | 13 per month | 1.60 | 0.22 | 4.15 | (2.51) | 17.56 | |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | 0.24 | 9 per month | 1.66 | 0.18 | 4.32 | (2.78) | 12.86 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 0.24 | 8 per month | 1.01 | 0.15 | 2.46 | (1.67) | 7.39 | |
| ROAD | Construction Partners | 0.61 | 10 per month | 2.38 | 0.10 | 3.22 | (3.06) | 10.85 | |
| MYRG | MYR Group | (3.08) | 9 per month | 2.39 | 0.07 | 3.25 | (3.33) | 8.98 | |
| APG | Api GroupCorp | (0.61) | 7 per month | 1.40 | 0.11 | 3.02 | (2.08) | 11.83 | |
| TPC | Tutor Perini | 0.28 | 8 per month | 1.90 | 0.20 | 6.61 | (3.79) | 27.66 | |
| ACM | Aecom Technology | 0.12 | 6 per month | 1.02 | (0.0001) | 1.75 | (1.66) | 4.90 | |
| FLR | Fluor | (1.13) | 13 per month | 2.82 | 0.03 | 3.70 | (2.56) | 17.46 |
Energy Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Energy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Energy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Energy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Energy Services Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Energy Services stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Energy Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Energy Services based on analysis of Energy Services hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Energy Services's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Energy Services's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0124 | 0.0142 | 0.0135 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.32 |
Story Coverage note for Energy Services
The number of cover stories for Energy Services depends on current market conditions and Energy Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Energy Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Energy Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Energy Services Short Properties
Energy Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Energy Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Energy Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Energy Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Energy Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.4 M |
Check out Energy Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Energy Stock refer to our How to Trade Energy Stock guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for Energy Stock analysis
When running Energy Services' price analysis, check to measure Energy Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Energy Services is operating at the current time. Most of Energy Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Energy Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Energy Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Energy Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Energy Services' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Energy Services. If investors know Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Energy Services listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 13.454 | Dividend Share 0.06 | Earnings Share 0.55 | Revenue Per Share 20.108 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.502 |
The market value of Energy Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Energy Services' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Energy Services' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Energy Services' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Energy Services' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Energy Services' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Energy Services is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Energy Services' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.