Escalade Incorporated Stock Price Prediction

ESCA Stock  USD 13.75  0.56  4.25%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Escalade Incorporated's share price is approaching 33 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Escalade Incorporated, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

33

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Escalade Incorporated stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Escalade Incorporated shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Escalade Incorporated's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Escalade Incorporated and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Escalade Incorporated's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Escalade Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Escalade Incorporated's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.424
Wall Street Target Price
20
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Escalade Incorporated based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Escalade stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Escalade Incorporated over a specific investment horizon. Using Escalade Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Escalade Incorporated from the perspective of Escalade Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Escalade Incorporated using Escalade Incorporated's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Escalade using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Escalade Incorporated's stock price.

Escalade Incorporated Implied Volatility

    
  75.13  
Escalade Incorporated's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Escalade Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Escalade Incorporated's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Escalade Incorporated stock will not fluctuate a lot when Escalade Incorporated's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Escalade Incorporated. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Escalade Incorporated to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Escalade because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Escalade Incorporated after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Escalade Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Escalade Stock refer to our How to Trade Escalade Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Escalade Incorporated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2415.9618.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2914.0016.72
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.4717.0018.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.440.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Escalade Incorporated. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Escalade Incorporated's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Escalade Incorporated's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Escalade Incorporated.

Escalade Incorporated After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Escalade Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Escalade Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Escalade Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Escalade Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Escalade Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Escalade Incorporated's historical news coverage. Escalade Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.59 and 16.03, respectively. We have considered Escalade Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.75
13.31
After-hype Price
16.03
Upside
Escalade Incorporated is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Escalade Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.

Escalade Incorporated Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Escalade Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Escalade Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Escalade Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.58 
2.73
  0.46 
  0.19 
5 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.75
13.31
3.20 
345.57  
Notes

Escalade Incorporated Hype Timeline

Escalade Incorporated is currently traded for 13.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.46, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Escalade is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Escalade Incorporated is about 824.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.94. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.14. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Escalade Incorporated has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of January 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of May 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Escalade Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Escalade Stock refer to our How to Trade Escalade Stock guide.

Escalade Incorporated Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Escalade Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Escalade Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Escalade Incorporated rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Escalade Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ASAmer Sports 1.04 11 per month 2.99  0.12  4.38 (5.13) 19.41 
MODGCallaway Golf 0.58 10 per month 2.14  0.03  3.87 (3.61) 15.20 
MSGEMadison Square Garden(0.03)6 per month 1.01  0.1  2.67 (2.26) 6.55 
ESCAEscalade Incorporated(0.79)5 per month 0.00 (0.26) 4.25 (4.90) 11.64 
FNKOFunko Inc(0.63)5 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.95 (6.09) 19.01 
CUKCarnival Plc ADS 0.77 11 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.28 (4.06) 10.77 
FTELFitell Ordinary 0.17 4 per month 7.26  0.24  25.82 (15.53) 62.54 
HASHasbro Inc 1.73 9 per month 1.48  0.03  3.31 (2.46) 7.24 
HWHHWH International(0.03)5 per month 0.00 (0.23) 14.39 (19.23) 66.02 
LTHLife Time Group 0.50 10 per month 2.49 (0.03) 4.01 (4.11) 12.32 

Escalade Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Escalade price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Escalade using various technical indicators. When you analyze Escalade charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Escalade Incorporated Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Escalade Incorporated stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Escalade Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Escalade Incorporated based on analysis of Escalade Incorporated hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Escalade Incorporated's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Escalade Incorporated's related companies.
 2016 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio16.37.686.917.54
Short Term Coverage Ratios9.741.050.940.9

Story Coverage note for Escalade Incorporated

The number of cover stories for Escalade Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Escalade Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Escalade Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Escalade Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Escalade Incorporated Short Properties

Escalade Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Escalade Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Escalade Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Escalade Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Escalade Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.9 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM
When determining whether Escalade Incorporated offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Escalade Incorporated's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Escalade Incorporated Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Escalade Incorporated Stock:
Check out Escalade Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Escalade Stock refer to our How to Trade Escalade Stock guide.
Note that the Escalade Incorporated information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Escalade Incorporated's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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When running Escalade Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure Escalade Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Escalade Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of Escalade Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Escalade Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Escalade Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Escalade Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Escalade Incorporated's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Escalade Incorporated. If investors know Escalade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Escalade Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.424
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
0.69
Revenue Per Share
19.754
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Escalade Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Escalade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Escalade Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Escalade Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Escalade Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Escalade Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Escalade Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Escalade Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Escalade Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.