Erie Indemnity Stock Analysis
ERIE Stock | USD 380.46 2.27 0.60% |
Erie Indemnity is overvalued with Real Value of 272.91 and Target Price of 115.0. The main objective of Erie Indemnity stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Erie Indemnity is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Erie Indemnity's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Erie Indemnity's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Erie Indemnity's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Erie Indemnity stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Erie Indemnity is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Erie Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Erie Indemnity's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Erie |
Erie Stock Analysis Notes
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.52. Erie Indemnity last dividend was issued on the 8th of April 2024. The entity had 3:1 split on the 13th of May 1996. Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. Erie Indemnity Company was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Erie, Pennsylvania. Erie Indemnity operates under Insurance Brokers classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 5805 people. To learn more about Erie Indemnity call CPA CIC at 814 870 2000 or check out https://www.erieinsurance.com.Erie Indemnity Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Erie Indemnity Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Erie Indemnity's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Erie Indemnity or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: EverQuote Rallies 137.7 percent in a Year More Room to Run |
Erie Indemnity Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Erie Indemnity to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Erie Indemnity previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
25th of April 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
6th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Erie Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Erie Indemnity's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2001-02-21 | 2000-12-31 | 0.5 | 0.45 | -0.05 | 10 | ||
2000-04-19 | 2000-03-31 | 0.45 | 0.5 | 0.05 | 11 | ||
1999-07-20 | 1999-06-30 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.05 | 10 |
Erie Indemnity Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Erie Indemnity stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Macroaxis PicksMacroaxis daily picks | ||
InsuranceUSA Equities from Insurance industry as classified by Fama & French |
Erie Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Erie Indemnity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Erie Indemnity backward and forwards among themselves. Erie Indemnity's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Erie Indemnity's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Apg All Pensions Group | 2023-12-31 | 175.9 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-09-30 | 163.4 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 151.5 K | Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp | 2023-09-30 | 148.1 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-09-30 | 133 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-09-30 | 120.3 K | Amundi | 2023-09-30 | 110.9 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-09-30 | 102.6 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 98.6 K | Pnc Financial Services Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 4.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M |
Erie Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 19.89 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Erie Indemnity's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Erie Indemnity's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Erie Profitablity
Erie Indemnity's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Erie Indemnity's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Erie Indemnity is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Erie Indemnity's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Erie Indemnity's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Erie Indemnity's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.14 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.17 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.17. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.29 | 0.15 | |
Return On Assets | 0.18 | 0.19 | |
Return On Equity | 0.27 | 0.17 |
Management Efficiency
Erie Indemnity has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1467 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1467 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2867 %, meaning that it created $0.2867 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Erie Indemnity's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Erie Indemnity manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, Erie Indemnity's Return On Assets are projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. At present, Erie Indemnity's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Tangible Assets is expected to grow to about 1.5 B, whereas Other Assets are forecasted to decline to about 36.7 M.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 35.71 | 37.49 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 35.71 | 27.66 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 27.21 | 28.57 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 9.38 | 9.85 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 27.21 | 28.57 | |
Price Fair Value | 9.38 | 9.85 | |
Enterprise Value | 15.5 B | 16.2 B |
The analysis of Erie Indemnity's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Erie Indemnity's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Erie Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield 0.0135 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0135 | Forward Dividend Rate 5.1 | Beta 0.412 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 19th of April, Erie Indemnity shows the Mean Deviation of 1.07, coefficient of variation of 879.57, and Downside Deviation of 1.26. Erie Indemnity technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to collect and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Erie Indemnity, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Erie Indemnity standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Erie Indemnity is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 380.46 per share. Given that Erie Indemnity has jensen alpha of 0.1656, we urge you to verify Erie Indemnity's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Erie Indemnity Price Movement Analysis
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Erie Indemnity middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Erie Indemnity. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Erie Indemnity Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Erie Indemnity insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Erie Indemnity's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Erie Indemnity insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Elizabeth Vorsheck over two weeks ago Acquisition by Elizabeth Vorsheck of tradable shares of Erie Indemnity subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Lorianne Feltz over two weeks ago Acquisition by Lorianne Feltz of tradable shares of Erie Indemnity at 401.57 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Lorianne Feltz over three weeks ago Acquisition by Lorianne Feltz of tradable shares of Erie Indemnity subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Zimmer Christopher J over six months ago Acquisition or disposition of Erie Indemnity securities by Zimmer Christopher J |
Erie Indemnity Predictive Daily Indicators
Erie Indemnity intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Erie Indemnity stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Erie Indemnity Corporate Filings
F4 | 1st of April 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
22nd of March 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 19th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 1st of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 26th of February 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
13A | 9th of February 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
F4 | 1st of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
13A | 31st of January 2024 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | ViewVerify |
Erie Indemnity Forecast Models
Erie Indemnity's time-series forecasting models are one of many Erie Indemnity's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Erie Indemnity's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Erie Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Erie Indemnity prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Erie shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Erie Indemnity. By using and applying Erie Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Erie entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.17 | 0.33 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.16 | 0.19 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.14 | 0.14 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.16 | 0.17 |
Current Erie Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Erie analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Erie analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
115.0 | Strong Buy | 1 | Odds |
Most Erie analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Erie stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Erie Indemnity, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Erie conference calls.
Erie Stock Analysis Indicators
Erie Indemnity stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Erie Indemnity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Erie Indemnity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Erie Indemnity stock analysis, traders can identify Erie Indemnity position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 142.1 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 1.7 B | |
Total Liab | 847.8 M | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 442.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 226.1 M | |
Net Invested Capital | 1.7 B | |
Cash | 144.1 M | |
50 Day M A | 388.7282 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 709 M | |
Investments | -137.7 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 6.1 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.7 M | |
Tax Provision | 103.3 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.697 | |
Free Cash Flow | 288.6 M | |
Other Current Assets | -860.9 M | |
Accounts Payable | 175.6 M | |
Net Debt | -144.1 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 2.7 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 1.5 B | |
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 2.5 B | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 146.6 M |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Erie Indemnity. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. For information on how to trade Erie Stock refer to our How to Trade Erie Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
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When running Erie Indemnity's price analysis, check to measure Erie Indemnity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erie Indemnity is operating at the current time. Most of Erie Indemnity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erie Indemnity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erie Indemnity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erie Indemnity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Erie Indemnity's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Erie Indemnity. If investors know Erie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Erie Indemnity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.697 | Dividend Share 4.845 | Earnings Share 8.52 | Revenue Per Share 70.773 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.167 |
The market value of Erie Indemnity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Erie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Erie Indemnity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Erie Indemnity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Erie Indemnity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Erie Indemnity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Erie Indemnity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Erie Indemnity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Erie Indemnity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.