The Ensign Group Stock Price Prediction

ENSG Stock  USD 118.64  0.02  0.02%   
As of 24th of April 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Ensign's share price is approaching 36 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ensign, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

36

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ensign Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ensign shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ensign's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ensign and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ensign's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Ensign Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ensign's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.65)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.25
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.39
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.9
Wall Street Target Price
133.25
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ensign based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ensign stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ensign over a specific investment horizon. Using Ensign hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Ensign Group from the perspective of Ensign response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ensign using Ensign's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ensign using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ensign's stock price.

Ensign Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Ensign's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ensign. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ensign stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Ensign may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ensign and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ensign with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
107.2296
Short Percent
0.0859
Short Ratio
12.65
Shares Short Prior Month
3.3 M
50 Day MA
121.841

Ensign Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ensign's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ensign. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ensign can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Ensign Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ensign's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ensign.

Ensign Implied Volatility

    
  34.46  
Ensign's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Ensign Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ensign's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ensign stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ensign's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ensign. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ensign to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ensign because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ensign after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 118.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ensign contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that The Ensign Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.15% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Ensign trading at USD 118.64, that is roughly USD 2.56 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ensign's daily price movement you should consider acquiring The Ensign Group options at the current volatility level of 34.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Ensign Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ensign's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
114.29115.65130.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
116.84118.20119.55
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
102.10112.20124.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.251.281.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ensign. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ensign's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ensign's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ensign Group.

Ensign After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ensign at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ensign or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ensign, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ensign Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ensign's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ensign's historical news coverage. Ensign's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 117.29 and 120.01, respectively. We have considered Ensign's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
118.64
117.29
Downside
118.65
After-hype Price
120.01
Upside
Ensign is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ensign Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ensign Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ensign is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ensign backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ensign, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.36
  0.01 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
118.64
118.65
0.01 
1,236  
Notes

Ensign Hype Timeline

Ensign Group is currently traded for 118.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Ensign is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 118.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Ensign is about 833.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 118.63. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.73 B. Net Income was 209.85 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 534.92 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Ensign Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ensign Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ensign's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ensign's future price movements. Getting to know how Ensign's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ensign may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EHABEnhabit 0.28 9 per month 3.05 (0) 5.48 (4.79) 27.98 
PNTGPennant Group 0.32 8 per month 1.49  0.17  3.45 (3.21) 13.54 
INNVInnovAge Holding Corp 0.10 9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 6.98 (8.20) 21.11 
NHCNational HealthCare 0.37 12 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.45 (2.67) 7.84 
SEMSelect Medical Holdings 0.37 10 per month 1.44  0  2.81 (2.42) 12.75 
EHCEncompass Health Corp(1.57)8 per month 0.65  0.12  2.65 (1.34) 7.95 
UHSUniversal Health Services 0.61 12 per month 1.45 (0.01) 2.49 (2.50) 7.41 
ADUSAddus HomeCare(1.05)9 per month 1.66 (0.01) 3.66 (2.84) 10.10 
SGRYSurgery Partners 0.18 11 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.20 (4.29) 14.59 
HCSGHealthcare Services Group(0.19)11 per month 1.26  0.08  2.92 (2.78) 30.35 
ACHCAcadia Healthcare(1.22)10 per month 0.00 (0.26) 2.01 (2.61) 6.80 
AMEDAmedisys(0.84)8 per month 0.00 (0.36) 0.61 (0.68) 2.07 
OPCHOption Care Health 0.52 11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.09 (3.01) 8.28 

Ensign Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ensign price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ensign using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ensign charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ensign Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ensign stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Ensign Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ensign based on analysis of Ensign hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ensign's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ensign's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0025240.0023430.0020620.001959
Price To Sales Ratio1.741.721.681.76

Story Coverage note for Ensign

The number of cover stories for Ensign depends on current market conditions and Ensign's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ensign is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ensign's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ensign Short Properties

Ensign's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ensign's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Ensign Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ensign's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ensign's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments526.9 M
When determining whether Ensign Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ensign's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ensign's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ensign Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ensign Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Ensign Stock analysis

When running Ensign's price analysis, check to measure Ensign's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ensign is operating at the current time. Most of Ensign's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ensign's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ensign's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ensign to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ensign's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ensign. If investors know Ensign will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ensign listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.65)
Dividend Share
0.233
Earnings Share
3.65
Revenue Per Share
66.945
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.211
The market value of Ensign Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ensign that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ensign's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ensign's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ensign's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ensign's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ensign's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ensign is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ensign's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.