Eagle Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| EGBN Stock | USD 21.31 0.02 0.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Eagle Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Eagle Bancorp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Eagle Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eagle Bancorp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eagle Bancorp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eagle Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Eagle Bancorp's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.61 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.39 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.7 | Wall Street Target Price 25.67 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Eagle Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Eagle stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Eagle Bancorp over a specific investment horizon. Using Eagle Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eagle Bancorp from the perspective of Eagle Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Eagle Bancorp using Eagle Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Eagle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Eagle Bancorp's stock price.
Eagle Bancorp Implied Volatility | 105.45 |
Eagle Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Eagle Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Eagle Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Eagle Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Eagle Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Eagle Bancorp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eagle Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eagle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Eagle Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 21.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Eagle |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eagle Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eagle Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eagle Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eagle Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eagle Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eagle Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eagle Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eagle Bancorp's historical news coverage. Eagle Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.00 and 24.38, respectively. We have considered Eagle Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eagle Bancorp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eagle Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eagle Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eagle Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eagle Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eagle Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.67 | 0.37 | 0.19 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.31 | 21.69 | 1.78 |
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Eagle Bancorp Hype Timeline
Eagle Bancorp is currently traded for 21.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Eagle is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.78%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Eagle Bancorp is about 427.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.12. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 646.86 M. Net Income was 100.53 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 354.78 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Eagle Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Eagle Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eagle Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eagle Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Eagle Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eagle Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (1.24) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.72 | (3.57) | 11.98 | |
| NFBK | Northfield Bancorp | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.98 | (4.92) | 12.27 |
Eagle Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eagle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eagle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eagle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Eagle Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Eagle Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eagle Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eagle Bancorp based on analysis of Eagle Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eagle Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eagle Bancorp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.024 | 0.0395 | 0.0601 | 0.0631 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.11 | 3.96 | 1.41 | 1.34 |
Story Coverage note for Eagle Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Eagle Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Eagle Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eagle Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eagle Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Eagle Bancorp Short Properties
Eagle Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eagle Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eagle Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eagle Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eagle Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -9 M |
Check out Eagle Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Eagle Stock, please use our How to Invest in Eagle Bancorp guide.Note that the Eagle Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Eagle Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Eagle Stock analysis
When running Eagle Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Eagle Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eagle Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eagle Bancorp. If investors know Eagle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eagle Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Dividend Share 1.8 | Earnings Share 3.31 | Revenue Per Share 9.254 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.32) |
The market value of Eagle Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eagle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eagle Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eagle Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eagle Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eagle Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eagle Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eagle Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eagle Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.