Correlation Between Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA ADR and Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of Petroleo Brasileiro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro

0.62
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and Petroleo is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA ADR and Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Petroleo Brasileiro and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Petroleo Brasileiro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Petroleo Brasileiro has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol SA ADR is expected to generate 0.61 times more return on investment than Petroleo Brasileiro. However, Ecopetrol SA ADR is 1.64 times less risky than Petroleo Brasileiro. It trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras is currently generating about -0.24 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,198  in Ecopetrol SA ADR on December 29, 2023 and sell it today you would lose (65.00) from holding Ecopetrol SA ADR or give up 5.43% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ecopetrol SA ADR  vs.  Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ecopetrol SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Low
 
High
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Ecopetrol is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Petroleo Brasileiro 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Low
 
High
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable fundamental drivers, Petroleo Brasileiro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and Petroleo Brasileiro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, Petroleo Brasileiro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Petroleo Brasileiro will offset losses from the drop in Petroleo Brasileiro's long position.
The idea behind Ecopetrol SA ADR and Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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