Digimarc Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DMRC -- USA Stock  

USD 28.00  0.005  0.0179%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Digimarc Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Digimarc hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Digimarc Corporation from the prospective of Digimarc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Digimarc over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Digimarc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Digimarc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

April 20, 2019
28.00
Current Value
28.11
After-hype Price
40.71
Upside
Digimarc is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Digimarc is based on 2 months time horizon.

Digimarc Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.50% 4.20% 0.11%  0.27% 7 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.0028.110.39%
1,909% 

Digimarc Hype Timeline

Digimarc is currently traded for28.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. Digimarc Corporation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 28.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1909.09%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.39% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Digimarc is about 785.68% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 27.73. The company reported previous year revenue of 21.19M. Net Loss for the year was (32.51M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.48M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Digimarc Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Gartner 1.15 9 per month 0.96  0.12  1.86 (1.67)  4.42 
Digimarc Corporation 0.22 7 per month 2.89  0.12  8.35 (6.33)  21.65 
EPAM Systems(5.04) 5 per month 1.72  0.17  2.83 (3.27)  8.14 
Accenture plc(0.86) 7 per month 0.00  0.20  1.52 (0.44)  5.61 
CDW Corporation 0.39 6 per month 0.66  0.22  3.55 (1.59)  9.41 
Computer Task Group Incorporated(0.0157) 7 per month 0.00 (0.07)  3.29 (3.41)  8.63 
DXC Technology Company(0.57) 4 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.79 (3.12)  5.59 
CGI Group 0.37 7 per month 0.42  0.0273  1.16 (1.06)  3.77 
FRONTEO(0.52) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0357)  3.54 (6.75)  47.00 
International Business Machines Corporation(0.47) 9 per month 1.13 (0.0001)  1.35 (1.18)  6.69 

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Latest Prospective on Digimarc

Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Chance of Distress module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
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