Dlh Holdings Corp Stock Price Prediction

DLHC Stock  USD 13.27  0.64  4.60%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of DLH Holdings' share price is approaching 32 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling DLH Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

32

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
DLH Holdings Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of DLH Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of DLH Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of DLH Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from DLH Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with DLH Holdings Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting DLH Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.364
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.13
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.55
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.95
Wall Street Target Price
21
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of DLH Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The DLH stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on DLH Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using DLH Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DLH Holdings Corp from the perspective of DLH Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DLH Holdings using DLH Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DLH using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DLH Holdings' stock price.

DLH Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
DLH Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DLH Holdings Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DLH Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DLH Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when DLH Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in DLH Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in DLH Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DLH because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

DLH Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out DLH Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DLH Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9416.4818.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2414.4416.64
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.1121.0023.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.130.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DLH Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DLH Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DLH Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DLH Holdings Corp.

DLH Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of DLH Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DLH Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DLH Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

DLH Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting DLH Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DLH Holdings' historical news coverage. DLH Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.12 and 15.52, respectively. We have considered DLH Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.27
13.32
After-hype Price
15.52
Upside
DLH Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DLH Holdings Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

DLH Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DLH Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DLH Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DLH Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.22
  0.05 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.27
13.32
0.38 
1,168  
Notes

DLH Holdings Hype Timeline

DLH Holdings Corp is currently traded for 13.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. DLH is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on DLH Holdings is about 5285.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.28. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 375.87 M. Net Income was 1.46 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 72.29 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out DLH Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

DLH Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to DLH Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DLH Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how DLH Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DLH Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

DLH Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine DLH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DLH using various technical indicators. When you analyze DLH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About DLH Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of DLH Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as DLH Holdings Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of DLH Holdings based on analysis of DLH Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to DLH Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to DLH Holdings's related companies.
 2020 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0016150.0018570.003659
Price To Sales Ratio0.680.520.94

Story Coverage note for DLH Holdings

The number of cover stories for DLH Holdings depends on current market conditions and DLH Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DLH Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DLH Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

DLH Holdings Short Properties

DLH Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when DLH Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DLH Holdings Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DLH Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DLH Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments215 K
When determining whether DLH Holdings Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of DLH Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dlh Holdings Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dlh Holdings Corp Stock:
Check out DLH Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the DLH Holdings Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other DLH Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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When running DLH Holdings' price analysis, check to measure DLH Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DLH Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of DLH Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DLH Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DLH Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DLH Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is DLH Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DLH Holdings. If investors know DLH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DLH Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.364
Earnings Share
0.13
Revenue Per Share
28.878
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.345
Return On Assets
0.0495
The market value of DLH Holdings Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DLH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DLH Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DLH Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DLH Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DLH Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DLH Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DLH Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DLH Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.