Community Health Systems Stock Price Prediction

CYH Stock  USD 3.40  0.12  3.66%   
As of 28th of March 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Community Health's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Community Health, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

43

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Community Health Systems stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Community Health shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Community Health's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Community Health and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Community Health's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Community Health Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Community Health's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.41)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.14
Wall Street Target Price
4.37
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Community Health based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Community stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Community Health over a specific investment horizon. Using Community Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Community Health Systems from the perspective of Community Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Community Health using Community Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Community using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Community Health's stock price.

Community Health Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Community Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Community. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Community Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Community Health may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Community Health and may potentially protect profits, hedge Community Health with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
3.3176
Short Percent
0.068
Short Ratio
2.95
Shares Short Prior Month
6.1 M
50 Day MA
3.3618

Community Health Systems Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Community Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Community. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Community can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Community Health Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Community Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Community Health.

Community Health Implied Volatility

    
  121.58  
Community Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Community Health Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Community Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Community Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Community Health's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Community Health. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Community Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Community because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Community Health after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Community Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Community Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.868.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.709.24
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.905.385.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.21-0.16-0.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Community Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Community Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Community Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Community Health Systems.

Community Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Community Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Community Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Community Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Community Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Community Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Community Health's historical news coverage. Community Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 8.94, respectively. We have considered Community Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.40
3.40
After-hype Price
8.94
Upside
Community Health is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Community Health Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.

Community Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Community Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Community Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Community Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
5.58
  0.02 
 0.00  
12 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.40
3.40
0.00 
6,975  
Notes

Community Health Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Community Health Systems is traded for 3.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Community is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Community Health is about 334800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.40. About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.02. Community Health Systems last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2012. The entity had 121:100 split on the 22nd of April 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Community Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Community Health Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Community Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Community Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Community Health rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Community Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Community Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Community price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Community using various technical indicators. When you analyze Community charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Community Health Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Community Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Community Health Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Community Health based on analysis of Community Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Community Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Community Health's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0073930.007763
Price To Sales Ratio0.03270.0311

Story Coverage note for Community Health

The number of cover stories for Community Health depends on current market conditions and Community Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Community Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Community Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Community Health Short Properties

Community Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Community Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Community Health Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Community Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Community Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding130.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38 M
When determining whether Community Health Systems offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Community Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Community Health Systems Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Community Health Systems Stock:
Check out Community Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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When running Community Health's price analysis, check to measure Community Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Community Health is operating at the current time. Most of Community Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Community Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Community Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Community Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Community Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Community Health. If investors know Community will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Community Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
(1.02)
Revenue Per Share
95.749
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
Return On Assets
0.0373
The market value of Community Health Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Community that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Community Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Community Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Community Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Community Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Community Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Community Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Community Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.