Chevron shows prevailing Real Value of $121.05 per share. The current price of the firm is $115.94. At this time the firm appears to be under valued. Macroaxis approximates value of Chevron from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 9.28% and Return On Equity of 9.42% as well as examining its technical indicators and Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor to go long with undervalued instruments and to trade away overvalued instruments since at some point assets prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Taking a look at a recent 8-K filing, we can see the numbers from their third quarter operations. The company reported earnings of $1.3 billion for the third quarter of 2016, compared with earnings of $2.0 billion in the third quarter of 2015. Sales and other operations revenues in the third quarter 2016 were $29 billion, compared to $33 billion in 2015 third quarter. These numbers are expected to be lower due to the low oil prices, but as the price begins to increase, this will certainly help these numbers increase.
Taking a look at the chart, we can see that price has been on steady increase from the year 2003. In mid 2015, we can see price retraced quite drastically and has also rebounded just as nicely. This is what I want to see in a chart because this means people are entering and taking profits, where as with price just going up, people haven’t taken profits on a massive scale. Right now might be a good entry area if you’re playing the ABC structure on the way up. Overall, the chart is looking good and moving with the fundamental numbers.
Chevron Corporation is rated third in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Oil & Gas Integrated industry is currently estimated at about 1.6 Trillion. Chevron retains roughly 221.53 Billion in market capitalization claiming about 14% of all equities under Oil & Gas Integrated industry.
Chevron Corporation is rated below average in beta category among related companies. It is rated below average in price to earning category among related companies reporting about 16.61 of Price to Earning per Beta.
Chevron is not too risky asset. Calculation of real value of Chevron is based on 2 months time horizon. Increasing Chevron time horizon generally increases accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves predictive power of the methodology used.