Chevron Valuation Overview

CVX -- USA Stock  

USD 126.51  2.19  1.70%

Chevron shows prevailing Real Value of $133.992125 per share. The current price of the firm is $126.51. At this time the firm appears to be fairly valued. Macroaxis approximates value of Chevron from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 7.60% and Return On Equity of 6.83% as well as examining its technical indicators and Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor to go long with undervalued instruments and to trade away overvalued instruments since at some point assets prices and their ongoing real values will blend.

Taking a look at a recent 8-K filing, we can see the numbers from their third quarter operations. The company reported earnings of $1.3 billion for the third quarter of 2016, compared with earnings of $2.0 billion in the third quarter of 2015. Sales and other operations revenues in the third quarter 2016 were $29 billion, compared to $33 billion in 2015 third quarter. These numbers are expected to be lower due to the low oil prices, but as the price begins to increase, this will certainly help these numbers increase.

Taking a look at the chart, we can see that price has been on steady increase from the year 2003. In mid 2015, we can see price retraced quite drastically and has also rebounded just as nicely. This is what I want to see in a chart because this means people are entering and taking profits, where as with price just going up, people haven’t taken profits on a massive scale. Right now might be a good entry area if you’re playing the ABC structure on the way up. Overall, the chart is looking good and moving with the fundamental numbers.

Valuation Drivers Correlation

Selected Chevron Corporation Valuation Data Over Time

Net Income Per Employee    Enterprise Value    Market Capitalization    
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Chevron Corporation is rated second in last dividend paid category among related companies. It is rated below average in beta category among related companies totaling about  0.26  of Beta per Last Dividend Paid. The ratio of Last Dividend Paid to Beta for Chevron Corporation is roughly  3.80 

Current Market Valuation

Chevron Valuation Boundaries
Fairly Valued
May 24, 2018
126.51
Market Value
Downside
116.43
133.99
Real Value
Target Odds
  
136.60
Upside
Chevron is not too risky asset. Calculation of real value of Chevron is based on 1 month time horizon. Increasing Chevron time horizon generally increases accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves predictive power of the methodology used.

Tax Efficiency

Chevron Tax Efficiency History

Tax Efficiency

Market Capitalization

Chevron Market Capitalization Analysis
Chevron Corporation is rated second in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Oil And Gas industry is currently estimated at about 686.5 Billion. Chevron totals roughly 244.34 Billion in market capitalization claiming about 36% of all equities under Oil And Gas industry.
Capitalization  Valuation  Total debt  Revenue  Workforce
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