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CVS Health Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#2A0CD0;color: white;font-size:3em;padding-top: 40px;;'>CVS</div>
CVS -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: March 31, 2020  

CVS Health Cash and Equivalents Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the last year. CVS Health reported last year Cash and Equivalents Turnover of 77.76. This year Return on Investment is likely to grow to 4.83, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 8.64. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVS Health Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using CVS Health hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of CVS Health Corporation from the prospective of CVS Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CVS Health over a specific investment horizon. Continue to CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CVS Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

CVS Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
71.51
February 23, 2020
71.57
After-hype Price
75.35
Upside
CVS Health is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Health is based on 3 months time horizon.

CVS Health Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10  1.26  0.06   0.21  12 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
71.5171.570.08 
221.05  

CVS Health Hype Timeline

On the 23th of February CVS Health is traded for 71.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. CVS Health Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 71.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 221.05%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.08% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on CVS Health is about 59.27% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 71.72. The company reported last year revenue of 226.05 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.32 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 30.88 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days.
Continue to CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CVS Health Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Cigna Corporation 3.98 8 per month 1.38  0.05  2.77 (2.74)  6.27 
Centene Corporation 0.15 12 per month 1.62  0.06  4.00 (2.60)  11.48 
CVS Health Corporation 0.57 12 per month 0.00 (0.10)  1.78 (2.37)  6.29 
Triple S Management Corporation 0.10 4 per month 0.00 (0.08)  4.34 (3.74)  11.47 
Humana 15.37 8 per month 1.20  0.06  3.25 (2.04)  8.42 
Molina Healthcare(1.35) 10 per month 1.74  0.05  4.22 (2.98)  11.51 
Health Insurance Innovations I 0.04 10 per month 4.46  0.16  8.38 (8.16)  22.50 
Magellan Health 0.32 7 per month 1.37 (0.0195)  2.80 (2.47)  7.61 
Anthem 2.05 8 per month 2.69 (0.0073)  2.80 (3.33)  14.80 
COMPREHENSIVE CARE CORP 0.03 9 per month 9.68  0.022  14.96 (18.82)  57.71 
Continue to CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Commodity Channel Index module to use commodity channel index to analyze current equity momentum.
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