Caribbean Utilities Stock Price Prediction

CUPUF Stock  USD 13.50  0.09  0.66%   
As of 20th of April 2024 The relative strength index (RSI) of Caribbean Utilities' share price is above 80 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

93

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Caribbean Utilities stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Caribbean Utilities shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Caribbean Utilities' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Caribbean Utilities and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Caribbean Utilities' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Caribbean Utilities, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Caribbean Utilities based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Caribbean stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Caribbean Utilities over a specific investment horizon. Using Caribbean Utilities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caribbean Utilities from the perspective of Caribbean Utilities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Caribbean Utilities. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Caribbean Utilities to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Caribbean because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Caribbean Utilities after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Caribbean Utilities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caribbean Utilities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0415.2617.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Caribbean Utilities. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Caribbean Utilities' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Caribbean Utilities' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Caribbean Utilities.

Caribbean Utilities After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Caribbean Utilities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caribbean Utilities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Caribbean Utilities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Caribbean Utilities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Caribbean Utilities' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caribbean Utilities' historical news coverage. Caribbean Utilities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.28 and 15.72, respectively. We have considered Caribbean Utilities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.50
13.50
After-hype Price
15.72
Upside
Caribbean Utilities is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caribbean Utilities is based on 3 months time horizon.

Caribbean Utilities Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caribbean Utilities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caribbean Utilities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caribbean Utilities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.20
 0.00  
  0.04 
0 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.50
13.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Caribbean Utilities Hype Timeline

Caribbean Utilities is currently traded for 13.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Caribbean is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Caribbean Utilities is about 1090.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.46. About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Caribbean Utilities last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2023. The entity had 1213:1206 split on the 25th of March 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Caribbean Utilities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Caribbean Utilities Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Caribbean Utilities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caribbean Utilities' future price movements. Getting to know how Caribbean Utilities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caribbean Utilities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AEEAmeren Corp(0.43)12 per month 0.91  0.01  1.93 (1.73) 5.38 
PNMPNM Resources 0.02 11 per month 1.20 (0.02) 2.58 (1.85) 7.22 
EBRCentrais Electricas Brasileiras(0.06)3 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.65 (3.73) 10.82 
CMSCMS Energy(0.36)3 per month 1.07 (0) 1.83 (1.86) 4.99 
EVRGEvergy Common Stock(0.47)8 per month 1.14 (0.05) 1.75 (2.02) 5.89 
SOSouthern Company 0.13 8 per month 0.91 (0.01) 2.08 (1.45) 4.21 
EIXEdison International(0.47)12 per month 1.27 (0.04) 2.19 (2.16) 5.67 
AEPAmerican Electric Power(0.31)11 per month 0.95  0.02  2.24 (1.92) 6.19 
DUKDuke Energy(0.93)10 per month 1.03 (0.04) 2.05 (1.60) 5.03 
DDominion Energy(0.03)11 per month 1.64  0.04  3.12 (2.24) 11.31 
NEENextera Energy 0.51 10 per month 1.39  0.06  2.77 (2.10) 6.28 
EDConsolidated Edison(0.02)11 per month 1.08 (0.04) 2.07 (1.96) 5.43 

Caribbean Utilities Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Caribbean price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caribbean using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caribbean charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Caribbean Utilities Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Caribbean Utilities stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caribbean Utilities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caribbean Utilities based on analysis of Caribbean Utilities hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Caribbean Utilities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Caribbean Utilities's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Caribbean Utilities

The number of cover stories for Caribbean Utilities depends on current market conditions and Caribbean Utilities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caribbean Utilities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caribbean Utilities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Caribbean Utilities Short Properties

Caribbean Utilities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Caribbean Utilities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caribbean Utilities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caribbean Utilities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caribbean Utilities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.6 M
Check out Caribbean Utilities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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Complementary Tools for Caribbean Pink Sheet analysis

When running Caribbean Utilities' price analysis, check to measure Caribbean Utilities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caribbean Utilities is operating at the current time. Most of Caribbean Utilities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caribbean Utilities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caribbean Utilities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caribbean Utilities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Caribbean Utilities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caribbean Utilities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caribbean Utilities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.