Copa Holdings Sa Stock Price Prediction
| CPA Stock | USD 99.94 2.09 2.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Copa Holdings SA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Copa Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Copa Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Copa Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Copa Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Copa Holdings SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Copa Holdings' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.039 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 16.61 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.68 | Wall Street Target Price 156.42 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Copa Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Copa stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Copa Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Copa Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Copa Holdings SA from the perspective of Copa Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Copa Holdings using Copa Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Copa using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Copa Holdings' stock price.
Copa Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Copa Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Copa. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Copa Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Copa Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Copa Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Copa Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 98.3329 | Short Percent 0.0189 | Short Ratio 2.64 | Shares Short Prior Month 742.1 K | 50 Day MA 100.7188 |
Copa Holdings SA Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Copa Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Copa. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Copa can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Copa Holdings SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Copa Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Copa Holdings.
Copa Holdings Implied Volatility | 106.8 |
Copa Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Copa Holdings SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Copa Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Copa Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Copa Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Copa Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Copa Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Copa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Copa Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 100.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Copa contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Copa Holdings SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 6.67% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Copa Holdings trading at USD 99.94, that is roughly USD 6.67 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Copa Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Copa Holdings SA options at the current volatility level of 106.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Copa |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Copa Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Copa Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Copa Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Copa Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Copa Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Copa Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Copa Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Copa Holdings' historical news coverage. Copa Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.40 and 101.78, respectively. We have considered Copa Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Copa Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Copa Holdings SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Copa Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Copa Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Copa Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Copa Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.69 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 13 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
99.94 | 100.09 | 0.15 |
|
Copa Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Copa Holdings SA is traded for 99.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Copa is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 100.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Copa Holdings is about 1300.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.91. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.46 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 518.18 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.07 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Copa Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Copa Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Copa Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Copa Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Copa Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Copa Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Copa Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Copa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Copa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Copa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Copa Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Copa Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Copa Holdings SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Copa Holdings based on analysis of Copa Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Copa Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Copa Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009318 | 0.0177 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.23 | 2.29 |
Story Coverage note for Copa Holdings
The number of cover stories for Copa Holdings depends on current market conditions and Copa Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Copa Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Copa Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Copa Holdings Short Properties
Copa Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Copa Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Copa Holdings SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Copa Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Copa Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 915.2 M |
Check out Copa Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Copa Stock analysis
When running Copa Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Copa Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Copa Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Copa Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Copa Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Copa Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Copa Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios |
Is Copa Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Copa Holdings. If investors know Copa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Copa Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.039 | Dividend Share 3.28 | Earnings Share 12.89 | Revenue Per Share 86.095 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 |
The market value of Copa Holdings SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Copa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Copa Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Copa Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Copa Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Copa Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Copa Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Copa Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Copa Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.