Inmobiliaria Colonial (Spain) Price Prediction

COL Stock  EUR 5.43  0.01  0.18%   
At the present time, the value of RSI of Inmobiliaria Colonial's share price is approaching 41 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Inmobiliaria Colonial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Inmobiliaria Colonial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Inmobiliaria Colonial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Inmobiliaria Colonial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Inmobiliaria Colonial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Inmobiliaria Colonial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Inmobiliaria Colonial SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Inmobiliaria Colonial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Inmobiliaria stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Inmobiliaria Colonial over a specific investment horizon. Using Inmobiliaria Colonial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inmobiliaria Colonial SA from the perspective of Inmobiliaria Colonial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Inmobiliaria Colonial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Inmobiliaria Colonial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Inmobiliaria because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Inmobiliaria Colonial after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 5.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Inmobiliaria Colonial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inmobiliaria Colonial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.075.557.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.995.476.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.385.415.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inmobiliaria Colonial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inmobiliaria Colonial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inmobiliaria Colonial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Inmobiliaria Colonial.

Inmobiliaria Colonial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Inmobiliaria Colonial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inmobiliaria Colonial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inmobiliaria Colonial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Inmobiliaria Colonial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Inmobiliaria Colonial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inmobiliaria Colonial's historical news coverage. Inmobiliaria Colonial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.95 and 6.91, respectively. We have considered Inmobiliaria Colonial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.43
5.43
After-hype Price
6.91
Upside
Inmobiliaria Colonial is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inmobiliaria Colonial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Inmobiliaria Colonial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inmobiliaria Colonial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inmobiliaria Colonial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inmobiliaria Colonial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
1.48
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.43
5.43
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Inmobiliaria Colonial Hype Timeline

Inmobiliaria Colonial is currently traded for 5.43on Madrid Exchange of Spain. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Inmobiliaria is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Inmobiliaria Colonial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.43. About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Inmobiliaria Colonial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.4. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of July 2022. The firm had 1:10 split on the 26th of July 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Inmobiliaria Colonial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Inmobiliaria Colonial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Inmobiliaria Colonial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inmobiliaria Colonial's future price movements. Getting to know how Inmobiliaria Colonial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inmobiliaria Colonial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Inmobiliaria Colonial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Inmobiliaria price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inmobiliaria using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inmobiliaria charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Inmobiliaria Colonial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Inmobiliaria Colonial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Inmobiliaria Colonial SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Inmobiliaria Colonial based on analysis of Inmobiliaria Colonial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Inmobiliaria Colonial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Inmobiliaria Colonial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Inmobiliaria Colonial

The number of cover stories for Inmobiliaria Colonial depends on current market conditions and Inmobiliaria Colonial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inmobiliaria Colonial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inmobiliaria Colonial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Inmobiliaria Colonial Short Properties

Inmobiliaria Colonial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Inmobiliaria Colonial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inmobiliaria Colonial SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inmobiliaria Colonial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inmobiliaria Colonial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding515.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments217.2 M
Check out Inmobiliaria Colonial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Inmobiliaria Stock analysis

When running Inmobiliaria Colonial's price analysis, check to measure Inmobiliaria Colonial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inmobiliaria Colonial is operating at the current time. Most of Inmobiliaria Colonial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inmobiliaria Colonial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inmobiliaria Colonial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inmobiliaria Colonial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inmobiliaria Colonial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inmobiliaria Colonial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inmobiliaria Colonial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.