Canadian Imperial Bank Stock Price Prediction
| CM Stock | USD 47.22 0.17 0.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Canadian Imperial Bank stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Canadian Imperial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Canadian Imperial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Canadian Imperial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Canadian Imperial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Canadian Imperial Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Canadian Imperial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.559 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.89 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.07 | Wall Street Target Price 45.06 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.23 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Canadian Imperial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Canadian stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Canadian Imperial over a specific investment horizon. Using Canadian Imperial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canadian Imperial Bank from the perspective of Canadian Imperial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Canadian Imperial using Canadian Imperial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Canadian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Canadian Imperial's stock price.
Canadian Imperial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Canadian Imperial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Canadian. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Canadian Imperial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Canadian Imperial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Canadian Imperial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Canadian Imperial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 43.1699 | Short Percent 0.009 | Short Ratio 13.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.9 M | 50 Day MA 48.1402 |
Canadian Imperial Bank Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Canadian Imperial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Canadian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Canadian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Canadian Imperial Bank. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Canadian Imperial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Canadian Imperial.
Canadian Imperial Implied Volatility | 36.71 |
Canadian Imperial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Canadian Imperial Bank stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Canadian Imperial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Canadian Imperial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Canadian Imperial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Canadian Imperial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Canadian Imperial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Canadian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Canadian Imperial after-hype prediction price | USD 47.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Canadian contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Canadian Imperial Bank will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.29% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Canadian Imperial trading at USD 47.22, that is roughly USD 1.08 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Canadian Imperial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Canadian Imperial Bank options at the current volatility level of 36.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Canadian |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Canadian Imperial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Canadian Imperial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Canadian Imperial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canadian Imperial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Canadian Imperial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Canadian Imperial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Canadian Imperial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canadian Imperial's historical news coverage. Canadian Imperial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.12 and 48.12, respectively. We have considered Canadian Imperial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Canadian Imperial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canadian Imperial Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Canadian Imperial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canadian Imperial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canadian Imperial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canadian Imperial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
47.22 | 47.12 | 0.21 |
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Canadian Imperial Hype Timeline
As of April 19, 2024 Canadian Imperial Bank is listed for 47.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Canadian is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 47.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 94.34%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Canadian Imperial is about 173.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.17. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Canadian Imperial Bank last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of May 2022. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Canadian Imperial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Canadian Imperial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Canadian Imperial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canadian Imperial's future price movements. Getting to know how Canadian Imperial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canadian Imperial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | 0.60 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.15 | (1.89) | 6.02 | |
| TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | (1.61) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.67 | (1.66) | 4.49 | |
| RY | Royal Bank of | (0.52) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.35 | (1.68) | 4.60 | |
| C | Citigroup | (0.09) | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.1 | 2.28 | (1.88) | 8.13 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | (1.06) | 13 per month | 1.19 | (0.03) | 1.60 | (1.59) | 5.82 | |
| BAC | Bank of America | (0.40) | 6 per month | 1.16 | 0.09 | 2.07 | (2.26) | 7.07 | |
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (1.89) | 8 per month | 1.31 | 0.05 | 1.72 | (1.14) | 8.65 | |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.58 | 0.21 | 1.79 | (1.32) | 8.55 | |
| NU | Nu Holdings | (0.09) | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.09 | 4.34 | (2.73) | 9.96 |
Canadian Imperial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Canadian Imperial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Canadian Imperial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Canadian Imperial Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian Imperial based on analysis of Canadian Imperial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Canadian Imperial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Canadian Imperial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0532 | 0.0505 | 0.0455 | 0.034 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.57 | 1.92 | 1.73 | 1.99 |
Story Coverage note for Canadian Imperial
The number of cover stories for Canadian Imperial depends on current market conditions and Canadian Imperial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canadian Imperial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canadian Imperial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Canadian Imperial Short Properties
Canadian Imperial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Canadian Imperial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Canadian Imperial Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Canadian Imperial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian Imperial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 916.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.5 B |
Check out Canadian Imperial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for Canadian Stock analysis
When running Canadian Imperial's price analysis, check to measure Canadian Imperial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canadian Imperial is operating at the current time. Most of Canadian Imperial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canadian Imperial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canadian Imperial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canadian Imperial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
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Is Canadian Imperial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Canadian Imperial. If investors know Canadian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Canadian Imperial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.559 | Dividend Share 3.49 | Earnings Share 4.75 | Revenue Per Share 23.121 | Return On Assets 0.0067 |
The market value of Canadian Imperial Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Canadian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Canadian Imperial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Canadian Imperial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Canadian Imperial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Canadian Imperial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Canadian Imperial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Canadian Imperial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Canadian Imperial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.