Cigna Corp Stock Price Prediction
| CI Stock | USD 352.28 0.37 0.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Cigna Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cigna Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cigna Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cigna Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cigna Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cigna Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cigna Corp's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 6.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 28.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 32.02 | Wall Street Target Price 383.14 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cigna Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Cigna stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cigna Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using Cigna Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cigna Corp from the perspective of Cigna Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cigna Corp using Cigna Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cigna using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cigna Corp's stock price.
Cigna Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cigna Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cigna. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cigna Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Cigna Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cigna Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cigna Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 306.8802 | Short Percent 0.0197 | Short Ratio 3.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.5 M | 50 Day MA 348.452 |
Cigna Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cigna Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cigna. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cigna can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cigna Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cigna Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cigna Corp.
Cigna Corp Implied Volatility | 36.32 |
Cigna Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cigna Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cigna Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cigna Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cigna Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Cigna Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cigna Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cigna because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cigna Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 351.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cigna contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cigna Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.27% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With Cigna Corp trading at USD 352.28, that is roughly USD 8.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cigna Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cigna Corp options at the current volatility level of 36.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Cigna |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cigna Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cigna Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cigna Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cigna Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cigna Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cigna Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cigna Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cigna Corp's historical news coverage. Cigna Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 350.11 and 387.51, respectively. We have considered Cigna Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cigna Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cigna Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cigna Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cigna Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cigna Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cigna Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.02 | 1.21 | 0.44 | 11 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
352.28 | 351.12 | 0.33 |
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Cigna Corp Hype Timeline
As of April 25, 2024 Cigna Corp is listed for 352.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.44. Cigna is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 351.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 23.67%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Cigna Corp is about 64.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 352.72. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cigna Corp was currently reported as 158.03. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. Cigna Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2024. The firm had 3:1 split on the 5th of June 2007. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Cigna Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cigna Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cigna Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cigna Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Cigna Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cigna Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUM | Humana Inc | 3.83 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.87 | (3.18) | 16.38 | |
| CVS | CVS Health Corp | (0.68) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.65 | (1.99) | 10.33 |
Cigna Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cigna price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cigna using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cigna charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cigna Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cigna Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cigna Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cigna Corp based on analysis of Cigna Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cigna Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cigna Corp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0173 | 0.0135 | 0.0287 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.45 | 0.57 | 0.48 |
Story Coverage note for Cigna Corp
The number of cover stories for Cigna Corp depends on current market conditions and Cigna Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cigna Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cigna Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cigna Corp Short Properties
Cigna Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cigna Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cigna Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cigna Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cigna Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 296.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.7 B |
Check out Cigna Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Cigna Stock please use our How to Invest in Cigna Corp guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Complementary Tools for Cigna Stock analysis
When running Cigna Corp's price analysis, check to measure Cigna Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cigna Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Cigna Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cigna Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cigna Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cigna Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cigna Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cigna Corp. If investors know Cigna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cigna Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Dividend Share 4.92 | Earnings Share 17.39 | Revenue Per Share 664.145 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.116 |
The market value of Cigna Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cigna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cigna Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cigna Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cigna Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cigna Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cigna Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cigna Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cigna Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.