Ch Robinson Worldwide Stock Price Prediction

CHRW Stock  USD 76.14  1.82  2.45%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of CH Robinson's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CH Robinson, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

50

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
CH Robinson Worldwide stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CH Robinson shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CH Robinson's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CH Robinson and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CH Robinson's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CH Robinson Worldwide, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CH Robinson's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.83
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.25
EPS Estimate Next Year
4
Wall Street Target Price
79.42
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CH Robinson based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CHRW stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CH Robinson over a specific investment horizon. Using CH Robinson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CH Robinson Worldwide from the perspective of CH Robinson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CH Robinson using CH Robinson's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CHRW using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CH Robinson's stock price.

CH Robinson Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in CH Robinson's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CHRW. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CH Robinson stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long CH Robinson may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CH Robinson and may potentially protect profits, hedge CH Robinson with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
85.7199
Short Percent
0.0978
Short Ratio
4.23
Shares Short Prior Month
7.7 M
50 Day MA
76.244

CH Robinson Worldwide Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CH Robinson's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CHRW. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CHRW can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CH Robinson Worldwide. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CH Robinson's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CH Robinson.

CH Robinson Implied Volatility

    
  23.3  
CH Robinson's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CH Robinson Worldwide stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CH Robinson's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CH Robinson stock will not fluctuate a lot when CH Robinson's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CH Robinson. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CH Robinson to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CHRW because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CH Robinson after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 76.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CHRW contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CH Robinson Worldwide will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.46% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With CH Robinson trading at USD 76.14, that is roughly USD 1.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CH Robinson's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CH Robinson Worldwide options at the current volatility level of 23.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out CH Robinson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CH Robinson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.5382.7384.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.0674.1876.31
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
80.1288.0497.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.490.660.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CH Robinson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CH Robinson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CH Robinson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CH Robinson Worldwide.

CH Robinson After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CH Robinson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CH Robinson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CH Robinson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CH Robinson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CH Robinson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CH Robinson's historical news coverage. CH Robinson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.94 and 78.18, respectively. We have considered CH Robinson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
76.14
76.06
After-hype Price
78.18
Upside
CH Robinson is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CH Robinson Worldwide is based on 3 months time horizon.

CH Robinson Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CH Robinson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CH Robinson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CH Robinson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
2.12
  0.08 
  0.28 
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
76.14
76.06
0.11 
493.02  
Notes

CH Robinson Hype Timeline

CH Robinson Worldwide is currently traded for 76.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.28. CHRW is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 76.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on CH Robinson is about 137.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.42. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. CH Robinson Worldwide last dividend was issued on the 29th of February 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of October 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out CH Robinson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CH Robinson Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CH Robinson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CH Robinson's future price movements. Getting to know how CH Robinson rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CH Robinson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CH Robinson Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CHRW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CHRW using various technical indicators. When you analyze CHRW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CH Robinson Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CH Robinson stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CH Robinson Worldwide, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CH Robinson based on analysis of CH Robinson hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CH Robinson's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CH Robinson's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio16.8912.2431.528.27
Short Term Coverage Ratios0.161.463.122.97

Story Coverage note for CH Robinson

The number of cover stories for CH Robinson depends on current market conditions and CH Robinson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CH Robinson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CH Robinson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CH Robinson Short Properties

CH Robinson's future price predictability will typically decrease when CH Robinson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CH Robinson Worldwide often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CH Robinson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CH Robinson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding119.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments145.5 M
When determining whether CH Robinson Worldwide is a strong investment it is important to analyze CH Robinson's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CH Robinson's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CHRW Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CH Robinson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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When running CH Robinson's price analysis, check to measure CH Robinson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CH Robinson is operating at the current time. Most of CH Robinson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CH Robinson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CH Robinson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CH Robinson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CH Robinson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CH Robinson. If investors know CHRW will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CH Robinson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Dividend Share
2.44
Earnings Share
2.72
Revenue Per Share
148.429
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of CH Robinson Worldwide is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CHRW that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CH Robinson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CH Robinson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CH Robinson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CH Robinson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CH Robinson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CH Robinson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CH Robinson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.