Correlation Between CF Industries and American Vanguard

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both CF Industries and American Vanguard at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining CF Industries and American Vanguard into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between CF Industries Holdings and American Vanguard, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on CF Industries and American Vanguard and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in CF Industries with a short position of American Vanguard. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of CF Industries and American Vanguard.

Diversification Opportunities for CF Industries and American Vanguard

0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between CF Industries and American is 0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding CF Industries Holdings and American Vanguard in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on American Vanguard and CF Industries is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on CF Industries Holdings are associated (or correlated) with American Vanguard. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of American Vanguard has no effect on the direction of CF Industries i.e., CF Industries and American Vanguard go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between CF Industries and American Vanguard

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon CF Industries Holdings is expected to generate 1.08 times more return on investment than American Vanguard. However, CF Industries is 1.08 times more volatile than American Vanguard. It trades about -0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. American Vanguard is currently generating about -0.37 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,614  in CF Industries Holdings on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (655.00) from holding CF Industries Holdings or give up 7.6% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy91.3%
ValuesDaily Returns

CF Industries Holdings  vs.  American Vanguard

 Performance 
       Timeline  
CF Industries Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CF Industries Holdings are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak technical and fundamental indicators, CF Industries may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.
American Vanguard 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Vanguard are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather fragile basic indicators, American Vanguard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.

CF Industries and American Vanguard Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with CF Industries and American Vanguard

The main advantage of trading using opposite CF Industries and American Vanguard positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if CF Industries position performs unexpectedly, American Vanguard can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Vanguard will offset losses from the drop in American Vanguard's long position.
The idea behind CF Industries Holdings and American Vanguard pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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