Coastal Financial Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Coastal Financial Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Coastal Financial hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Coastal Financial Corporation from the prospective of Coastal Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Coastal Financial over a specific investment horizon. Continue to Coastal Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Coastal Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Coastal Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
16.97
January 22, 2020
17.25
After-hype Price
22.29
Upside
Coastal Financial is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coastal Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Coastal Financial Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.14  1.67  0.08   0.03  9 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.9717.250.46 
298.21  

Coastal Financial Hype Timeline

On the 22th of January Coastal Financial is traded for 16.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Coastal Financial Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 17.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 298.21%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.46% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Coastal Financial is about 676.11% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 17.0. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Coastal Financial had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Continue to Coastal Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Coastal Financial Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Byline Bancorp 0.09 5 per month 0.53  0.07  2.36 (1.30)  4.08 
FFBW(0.01) 7 per month 0.00 (0.09)  1.48 (1.23)  13.71 
Bridgewater Bancshares 0.02 8 per month 0.53 (0.18)  1.01 (1.05)  4.49 
Coastal Financial Corporation(0.56) 9 per month 1.48 (0.0335)  2.52 (3.28)  9.54 
Esquire Financial Holdings 0.50 10 per month 1.58 (0.028)  2.89 (2.43)  11.07 
FB Financial Corporation 1.09 9 per month 0.89 (0.09)  1.88 (1.54)  5.24 
FSB Bancorp(0.01) 9 per month 0.70 (0.13)  1.30 (1.28)  4.66 
FVCBankcorp(0.12) 10 per month 0.00 (0.18)  1.68 (2.51)  6.98 
Luther Burbank Corporation 0.1 5 per month 0.93 (0.0477)  2.78 (1.37)  7.42 
Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp 1.37 9 per month 0.59  0.07  2.06 (1.24)  6.17 

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Continue to Coastal Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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