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Citigroup Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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C -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: March 31, 2020  

Citigroup Calculated Tax Rate is expected to significantly increase based on the last few years of reporting. The last year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 20.56. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 0.64, whereas Cash Flow Per Share is expected to decline to 16.61. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Citigroup which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Citigroup hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of Citigroup from the prospective of Citigroup response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Citigroup over a specific investment horizon. Continue to Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Citigroup After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Citigroup Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
78.22
February 21, 2020
78.29
After-hype Price
81.74
Upside
Citigroup is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citigroup is based on 3 months time horizon.

Citigroup Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  1.15  0.06   0.01  6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
78.2278.290.09 
123.66  

Citigroup Hype Timeline

As of February 21, 2020 Citigroup is listed for 78.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Citigroup is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 78.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 123.66%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.09% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Citigroup is about 1026.79% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 78.23. The company reported annual revenue of 65.09 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 17.48 B with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 65.5 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 6 days.
Continue to Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Citigroup Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
East West Bancorp(2.08) 10 per month 1.38  0.0037  2.66 (2.61)  11.05 
Barclays PLC(0.08) 10 per month 1.33 (0.0148)  1.82 (2.44)  10.52 
Credit Suisse Group(0.02) 9 per month 1.14  0.0035  1.97 (2.14)  5.78 
Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3 0.22 1 per month 0.00 (0.21)  0.92 (0.96)  2.53 
Bank Of Montreal 0.46 11 per month 0.78 (0.12)  0.80 (0.99)  3.82 
ING Group N V(0.12) 8 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.89 (1.88)  5.90 
HSBC Holdings Plc 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.1)  1.33 (2.02)  7.07 
Citigroup 0.93 6 per month 1.11 (0.0062)  1.77 (1.73)  5.89 
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Comme 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21)  0.81 (0.77)  6.22 
JP Morgan Chase Co 1.76 8 per month 0.87  0.0092  1.70 (1.70)  5.46 
Continue to Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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