Citigroup Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

C -- USA Stock  

USD 67.15  1.71  2.48%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Citigroup which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Citigroup hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Citigroup from the prospective of Citigroup response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Citigroup over a specific investment horizon. Check also Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Citigroup After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Citigroup Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 22, 2018
67.15
Current Value
67.90
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
72.58
Upside
Citigroup is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citigroup is based on 1 month time horizon.

Citigroup Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.42% 1.60% 0.30%  0.50% 6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
67.1567.900.40%
222.22% 

Citigroup Hype Timeline

As of October 22, 2018 Citigroup is listed for 67.15. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.3 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.5. Citigroup is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 67.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 222.22%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.4% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Citigroup is about 134.34% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 66.65. The company reported annual revenue of 65.05 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (6.26 B) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.28 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Citigroup Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Citigroup 0.72 6 per month 0.00 (0.09)  0.78 (2.93)  5.34 
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce(0.40) 5 per month 0.00 (0.21)  1.34 (1.86)  4.45 
Credit Suisse Group AG(0.33) 3 per month 0.00 (0.47)  0.48 (3.17)  6.53 
East West Bancorp(5.16) 6 per month 0.00 (0.26)  2.34 (4.28)  6.92 
Bank of America Corporation(0.74) 4 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.60 (2.47)  6.08 
Barclays PLC 0.02 6 per month 0.00 (0.22)  1.13 (2.63)  4.21 
Bank of Montreal(2.10) 6 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.19 (1.44)  2.66 
The Bank of Nova Scotia(0.44) 7 per month 0.00 (0.44)  1.18 (1.66)  3.12 
ING Groep N V(0.05) 5 per month 0.00 (0.23)  1.57 (3.60)  5.80 
JPMorgan Chase Co(3.42) 5 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.18 (3.00)  4.52 

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Check also Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try ETF Directory module to find actively-traded exchange traded funds (etf) from around the world.
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