Blue Bird Corp Stock Analysis
BLBD Stock | USD 33.43 0.79 2.31% |
Blue Bird Corp is fairly valued with Real Value of 33.23 and Target Price of 27.58. The main objective of Blue Bird stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Blue Bird Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Blue Bird's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Blue Bird's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Blue Bird's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Blue Bird stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Blue Bird is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Blue Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Blue Bird's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
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Blue Stock Analysis Notes
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Blue Bird Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 10:1 split on the October 4, 2010. Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia. Blue Bird operates under Auto Manufacturers classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1702 people. For more info on Blue Bird Corp please contact Matthew Stevenson at 478 822 2801 or go to https://www.blue-bird.com.Blue Bird Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Blue Bird Corp Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Blue Bird's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Blue Bird Corp or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
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Blue Bird Corp Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Blue Bird to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Blue Bird previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
7th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
9th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
9th of December 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Blue Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Blue Bird's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021-05-12 | 2021-03-31 | 0.08 | 0.05 | -0.03 | 37 | ||
2022-08-10 | 2022-06-30 | -0.05 | -0.09 | -0.04 | 80 | ||
2017-02-09 | 2016-12-31 | -0.09 | -0.13 | -0.04 | 44 |
Blue Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Blue Bird is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blue Bird Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Blue Bird's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Blue Bird's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 699 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 658.1 K | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 535.2 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 533.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 526.3 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 494.6 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 442.7 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 431.5 K | Blair William & Co | 2023-12-31 | 424.8 K | American Securities Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M |
Blue Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.16 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Blue Bird's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Blue Bird's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Blue Profitablity
Blue Bird's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Blue Bird's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Blue Bird is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Blue Bird's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Blue Bird's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Blue Bird's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.05 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.12 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.12. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | (11.08) | (10.53) | |
Return On Capital Employed | (155.24) | (147.48) | |
Return On Assets | (11.08) | (10.53) | |
Return On Equity | (154.28) | (146.57) |
Management Efficiency
Blue Bird Corp has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1571 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1571 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 1.8456 %, meaning that it created $1.8456 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Blue Bird's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Blue Bird manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -10.53. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -147.48. At present, Blue Bird's Intangible Assets are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Intangibles To Total Assets is expected to grow to 0.25, whereas Other Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 7.7 M.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (8.46) | (8.04) | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 1.3 K | 1.4 K | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | (8.46) | (8.04) | |
Price Fair Value | 1.3 K | 1.4 K | |
Enterprise Value | 32.8 M | 31.2 M |
The analysis of Blue Bird's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Blue Bird's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Blue Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta 1.367 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 18th of April 2024, Blue Bird shows the Mean Deviation of 1.99, risk adjusted performance of 0.1366, and Downside Deviation of 2.74. Blue Bird Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We have analyzed nineteen technical drivers for Blue Bird Corp, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Blue Bird Corp jensen alpha, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if Blue Bird Corp is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 33.43 per share. Given that Blue Bird has jensen alpha of 0.4237, we suggest you to validate Blue Bird Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Blue Bird Corp Price Movement Analysis
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Blue Bird middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Blue Bird Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Blue Bird Corp Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Blue Bird insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Blue Bird's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Blue Bird insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Douglas Grimm over two weeks ago Acquisition by Douglas Grimm of 1954 shares of Blue Bird subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Razvan Radulescu over a month ago Disposition of 3285 shares by Razvan Radulescu of Blue Bird at 30.08 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Razvan Radulescu over a month ago Disposition of 3504 shares by Razvan Radulescu of Blue Bird at 12.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Blue Bird Predictive Daily Indicators
Blue Bird intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Blue Bird stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Blue Bird Corporate Filings
F4 | 2nd of April 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 13th of March 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 4th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 23rd of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 22nd of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 21st of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
20th of February 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 15th of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
Blue Bird Forecast Models
Blue Bird's time-series forecasting models are one of many Blue Bird's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Blue Bird's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Blue Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Blue Bird prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Blue shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Blue Bird. By using and applying Blue Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Blue entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.05 | 0.03 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.02 | 0.03 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.14 | 0.12 |
Current Blue Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Blue analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Blue analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
27.58 | Strong Buy | 7 | Odds |
Most Blue analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Blue stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Blue Bird Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Blue conference calls.
Blue Stock Analysis Indicators
Blue Bird Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Blue Bird stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Blue Bird shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Blue Bird stock analysis, traders can identify Blue Bird position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 10.5 M | |
Long Term Debt | 110.5 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.3 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 40 M | |
Tax Provision | 9 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 2.351 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 96.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 79 M | |
Cash | 79 M | |
Accounts Payable | 137.1 M | |
Net Debt | 52.9 M | |
50 Day M A | 33.9371 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 229.6 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 1.1 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 181.7 M | |
Forward Price Earnings | 14.9477 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 1.5 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 4.2 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Blue Bird Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. Note that the Blue Bird Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blue Bird's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Blue Stock analysis
When running Blue Bird's price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blue Bird's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Bird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.351 | Earnings Share 1.9 | Revenue Per Share 37.832 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.348 | Return On Assets 0.1571 |
The market value of Blue Bird Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Bird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Bird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Bird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Bird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Bird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Bird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.