Buckle Inc Stock Price Prediction
| BKE Stock | USD 36.59 0.09 0.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Buckle Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Buckle shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Buckle's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Buckle and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Buckle's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Buckle Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Buckle's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.25 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.9 | Wall Street Target Price 34 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.44 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Buckle based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Buckle stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Buckle over a specific investment horizon. Using Buckle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Buckle Inc from the perspective of Buckle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Buckle using Buckle's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Buckle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Buckle's stock price.
Buckle Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Buckle's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Buckle. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Buckle stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Buckle may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Buckle and may potentially protect profits, hedge Buckle with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 37.4527 | Short Percent 0.1336 | Short Ratio 7.52 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 38.8682 |
Buckle Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Buckle's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Buckle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Buckle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Buckle Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Buckle's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Buckle.
Buckle Implied Volatility | 31.12 |
Buckle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Buckle Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Buckle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Buckle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Buckle's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Buckle. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Buckle to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Buckle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Buckle after-hype prediction price | USD 36.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Buckle contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Buckle Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.95% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Buckle trading at USD 36.59, that is roughly USD 0.71 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Buckle's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Buckle Inc options at the current volatility level of 31.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Buckle |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Buckle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Buckle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Buckle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Buckle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Buckle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Buckle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Buckle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Buckle's historical news coverage. Buckle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.76 and 38.42, respectively. We have considered Buckle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Buckle is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Buckle Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Buckle Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Buckle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Buckle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Buckle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.59 | 36.59 | 0.00 |
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Buckle Hype Timeline
On the 20th of April Buckle Inc is traded for 36.59. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Buckle is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Buckle is about 570.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.58. About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Buckle was currently reported as 8.3. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2024. Buckle Inc had 10241:1000 split on the 13th of January 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Buckle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Buckle Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Buckle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Buckle's future price movements. Getting to know how Buckle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Buckle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ROST | Ross Stores | (2.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.50 | (1.50) | 4.84 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 16.46 | (16.45) | 99.19 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | 1.29 | 8 per month | 2.49 | 0.04 | 3.78 | (4.05) | 12.41 | |
| GES | Guess Inc | (3.18) | 9 per month | 2.01 | 0.1 | 3.55 | (3.60) | 27.41 | |
| GCO | Genesco | 0.06 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.36 | (5.48) | 16.76 | |
| CTRN | Citi Trends | (0.26) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.72 | (4.82) | 13.19 | |
| ZUMZ | Zumiez Inc | 0.41 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.19 | (3.51) | 11.86 | |
| BURL | Burlington Stores | (1.13) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.26 | (3.05) | 11.97 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | 0.46 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.91 | (3.62) | 16.62 | |
| EXPR | Express | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 6.45 | (18.14) | 60.18 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.03 | 3.82 | (3.10) | 8.73 | |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | 0.81 | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.15 | 3.49 | (2.90) | 11.59 |
Buckle Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Buckle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Buckle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Buckle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Buckle Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Buckle stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Buckle Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Buckle based on analysis of Buckle hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Buckle's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Buckle's related companies. | 2014 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0952 | 0.1 | 0.0726 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.32 | 1.49 | 2.11 |
Story Coverage note for Buckle
The number of cover stories for Buckle depends on current market conditions and Buckle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Buckle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Buckle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Buckle Short Properties
Buckle's future price predictability will typically decrease when Buckle's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Buckle Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Buckle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Buckle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 290.4 M |
Check out Buckle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Complementary Tools for Buckle Stock analysis
When running Buckle's price analysis, check to measure Buckle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Buckle is operating at the current time. Most of Buckle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Buckle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Buckle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Buckle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Buckle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Buckle. If investors know Buckle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Buckle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 4.4 | Revenue Per Share 25.435 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Buckle Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Buckle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Buckle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Buckle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Buckle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Buckle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Buckle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Buckle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Buckle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.