Best Buy Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BBY -- USA Stock  

USD 70.90  2.45  3.58%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Best Buy headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Best Buy Co brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Best Buy hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Best Buy Co from the prospective of Best Buy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Best Buy over a specific investment horizon. Check also Best Buy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Best Buy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Best Buy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

May 27, 2018
70.90
Current Value
70.66
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
76.48
Upside
Best Buy is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Best Buy Co is based on 1 month time horizon.

Best Buy Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.54% 1.94% 0.24%  0.19% 6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
70.9070.660.34%
440.91% 

Best Buy Hype Timeline

On 27 of May Best Buy Co is traded for 70.90. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.24 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Best Buy Co is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 70.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 440.91%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.34% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Best Buy is about 554.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 71.09. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.04. Best Buy Co last dividend was issued on 2018-03-21. This company had 3:2 split on 2005-08-04. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also Best Buy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Best Buy Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Macys 1.21 3 per month 2.11  0.12  2.02 (3.81)  15.13 
Dollar General Corporation(0.28) 4 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.73 (1.62)  3.16 
The Home Depot 1.67 5 per month 0.96  0.0338  1.26 (1.54)  3.31 
Dollar Tree(0.52) 5 per month 0.00 (0.09)  1.04 (1.51)  2.63 
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.02) 4 per month 0.00 (0.17)  4.80 (4.03)  25.87 
Aarons 0.26 3 per month 0.00 (0.1)  1.32 (2.91)  5.60 
Best Buy Co(0.44) 6 per month 0.00 (0.22)  1.61 (3.61)  8.53 
Big Lots 0.63 7 per month 0.00 (0.06)  1.61 (2.32)  3.94 
Barnes Noble 0.05 7 per month 0.00 (0.1)  2.75 (2.86)  9.12 
Fossil Group 0.94 5 per month 0.83  0.40  9.06 (3.41)  14.42 

Contributor Headline

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Check also Best Buy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all macroaxis ideas. macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.