Altisource Portfolio Solutions Stock Price Prediction

ASPS Stock  USD 1.54  0.04  2.67%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Altisource Portfolio's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Altisource Portfolio, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Altisource Portfolio stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Altisource Portfolio shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Altisource Portfolio's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Altisource Portfolio and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Altisource Portfolio's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Altisource Portfolio Solutions, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Altisource Portfolio's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.41)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.07)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.26)
Wall Street Target Price
18
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Altisource Portfolio based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Altisource stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Altisource Portfolio over a specific investment horizon. Using Altisource Portfolio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Altisource Portfolio Solutions from the perspective of Altisource Portfolio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Altisource Portfolio. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Altisource Portfolio to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Altisource because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Altisource Portfolio after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Altisource Portfolio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altisource Portfolio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.305.619.92
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3818.0019.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.44-0.39-0.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altisource Portfolio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altisource Portfolio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altisource Portfolio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Altisource Portfolio.

Altisource Portfolio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Altisource Portfolio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Altisource Portfolio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Altisource Portfolio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Altisource Portfolio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Altisource Portfolio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Altisource Portfolio's historical news coverage. Altisource Portfolio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 5.90, respectively. We have considered Altisource Portfolio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.54
1.59
After-hype Price
5.90
Upside
Altisource Portfolio is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Altisource Portfolio is based on 23 months time horizon.

Altisource Portfolio Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Altisource Portfolio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Altisource Portfolio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Altisource Portfolio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
4.63
  0.03 
  0.88 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.54
1.59
6.00 
5,144  
Notes

Altisource Portfolio Hype Timeline

Altisource Portfolio is presently traded for 1.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.88. Altisource is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.59 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 6.0%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Altisource Portfolio is about 157.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.66. Altisource Portfolio Solutions currently holds about 70.69 M in cash with (26.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Altisource Portfolio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Altisource Portfolio Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Altisource Portfolio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Altisource Portfolio's future price movements. Getting to know how Altisource Portfolio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Altisource Portfolio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NENNew England Realty 0.00 6 per month 0.00 (0.01) 3.05 (3.09) 13.09 
MMIMarcus Millichap 0.23 12 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.74 (3.67) 15.60 
FSVFirstService Corp(0.67)11 per month 1.67  0.01  2.51 (2.70) 14.67 
MLPMaui Land Pineapple 0.73 7 per month 2.18  0.05  4.20 (3.78) 21.44 
RMAXRe Max Holding(0.50)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.60 (5.12) 21.81 
FRPHFrp Holdings Ord(30.05)6 per month 1.58 (0) 2.73 (2.62) 14.18 
HOUSAnywhere Real Estate(0.07)11 per month 0.00 (0.02) 7.10 (6.68) 28.80 
REAXReal Brokerage 0.05 10 per month 3.64  0.04  7.73 (6.43) 31.96 
TCITranscontinental Realty Investors 0.36 8 per month 0.00 (0.01) 3.57 (3.47) 25.66 
CWKCushman Wakefield plc 0.48 10 per month 0.00 (0.04) 4.21 (4.70) 23.99 

Altisource Portfolio Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Altisource price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Altisource using various technical indicators. When you analyze Altisource charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Altisource Portfolio Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Altisource Portfolio stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Altisource Portfolio Solutions, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Altisource Portfolio based on analysis of Altisource Portfolio hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Altisource Portfolio's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Altisource Portfolio's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Graham Number8.6223.4717.816.91
Receivables Turnover9.9111.7921.8222.91

Story Coverage note for Altisource Portfolio

The number of cover stories for Altisource Portfolio depends on current market conditions and Altisource Portfolio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Altisource Portfolio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Altisource Portfolio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Altisource Portfolio Short Properties

Altisource Portfolio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Altisource Portfolio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Altisource Portfolio Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Altisource Portfolio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altisource Portfolio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.5 M
When determining whether Altisource Portfolio is a strong investment it is important to analyze Altisource Portfolio's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Altisource Portfolio's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Altisource Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Altisource Portfolio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for Altisource Stock analysis

When running Altisource Portfolio's price analysis, check to measure Altisource Portfolio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altisource Portfolio is operating at the current time. Most of Altisource Portfolio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altisource Portfolio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altisource Portfolio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altisource Portfolio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Altisource Portfolio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altisource Portfolio. If investors know Altisource will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altisource Portfolio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Earnings Share
(2.51)
Revenue Per Share
6.471
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
(0.06)
The market value of Altisource Portfolio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altisource that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altisource Portfolio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altisource Portfolio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altisource Portfolio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altisource Portfolio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altisource Portfolio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altisource Portfolio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altisource Portfolio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.