Amn Healthcare Services Stock Price Prediction
AMN Stock | USD 61.48 0.30 0.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
AMN Healthcare Services stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AMN Healthcare shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AMN Healthcare's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AMN Healthcare and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AMN Healthcare's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMN Healthcare Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting AMN Healthcare's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.96 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.73 | Wall Street Target Price 77.43 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AMN Healthcare based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AMN stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AMN Healthcare over a specific investment horizon. Using AMN Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMN Healthcare Services from the perspective of AMN Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AMN Healthcare using AMN Healthcare's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AMN using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AMN Healthcare's stock price.
AMN Healthcare Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in AMN Healthcare's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards AMN. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of AMN Healthcare stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long AMN Healthcare may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AMN Healthcare and may potentially protect profits, hedge AMN Healthcare with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 80.5284 | Short Percent 0.14 | Short Ratio 4.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.5 M | 50 Day MA 66.7694 |
AMN Healthcare Services Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AMN Healthcare's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AMN. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AMN can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AMN Healthcare Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AMN Healthcare's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AMN Healthcare.
AMN Healthcare Implied Volatility | 43.81 |
AMN Healthcare's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AMN Healthcare Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AMN Healthcare's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AMN Healthcare stock will not fluctuate a lot when AMN Healthcare's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AMN Healthcare. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AMN Healthcare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AMN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AMN Healthcare after-hype prediction price | USD 61.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AMN contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AMN Healthcare Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.74% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With AMN Healthcare trading at USD 61.48, that is roughly USD 1.68 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AMN Healthcare's daily price movement you should consider acquiring AMN Healthcare Services options at the current volatility level of 43.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
AMN |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMN Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AMN Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AMN Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMN Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMN Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
AMN Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AMN Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMN Healthcare's historical news coverage. AMN Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.83 and 65.13, respectively. We have considered AMN Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AMN Healthcare is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMN Healthcare Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
AMN Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AMN Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMN Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMN Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 3.65 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
61.48 | 61.48 | 0.00 |
|
AMN Healthcare Hype Timeline
On the 28th of March AMN Healthcare Services is traded for 61.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. AMN is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on AMN Healthcare is about 219000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.48. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AMN Healthcare was presently reported as 21.99. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.43. AMN Healthcare Services recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.36. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 28th of May 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out AMN Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AMN Healthcare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AMN Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMN Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how AMN Healthcare rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMN Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
MBOT | Microbot Medical | (0.04) | 7 per month | 5.03 | (0.01) | 6.35 | (6.61) | 75.30 | |
EUDAW | EUDA Health Holdings | 0.00 | 2 per month | 22.04 | 0.18 | 90.00 | (52.27) | 208.76 | |
MDAI | Spectral AI | (0.06) | 9 per month | 8.22 | (0.01) | 14.69 | (12.70) | 63.68 | |
DH | Definitive Healthcare Corp | (0.46) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.45 | (5.87) | 13.17 | |
EW | Edwards Lifesciences Corp | 0.37 | 9 per month | 0.95 | 0.12 | 3.87 | (1.81) | 11.23 | |
MDGS | Medigus Ltd ADR | 0.18 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.97 | (5.60) | 16.23 |
AMN Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AMN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMN using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About AMN Healthcare Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AMN Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AMN Healthcare Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMN Healthcare based on analysis of AMN Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AMN Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AMN Healthcare's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Price Book Value Ratio | 5.02 | 4.39 | 3.53 | 6.64 | Operating Cycle | 108.14 | 65.74 | 71.4 | 90.72 |
Story Coverage note for AMN Healthcare
The number of cover stories for AMN Healthcare depends on current market conditions and AMN Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMN Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMN Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
AMN Healthcare Short Properties
AMN Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when AMN Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMN Healthcare Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMN Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMN Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.9 M |
Check out AMN Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Complementary Tools for AMN Stock analysis
When running AMN Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure AMN Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMN Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of AMN Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMN Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMN Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMN Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments |
Is AMN Healthcare's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMN Healthcare. If investors know AMN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMN Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | Earnings Share 5.36 | Revenue Per Share 96.731 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets 0.0733 |
The market value of AMN Healthcare Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMN Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMN Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMN Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMN Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMN Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMN Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMN Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.