Associated Capital Group Stock Price Prediction

AC Stock  USD 32.71  0.10  0.31%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Associated Capital's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Associated Capital, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Associated Capital stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Associated Capital shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Associated Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Associated Capital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Associated Capital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Associated Capital Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Associated Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.214
Wall Street Target Price
10.87
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.25)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Associated Capital based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Associated stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Associated Capital over a specific investment horizon. Using Associated Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Associated Capital Group from the perspective of Associated Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Associated Capital. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Associated Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Associated because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Associated Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 32.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Associated Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Associated Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.1133.2334.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.3731.4932.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.7632.5033.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Associated Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Associated Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Associated Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Associated Capital.

Associated Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Associated Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Associated Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Associated Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Associated Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Associated Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Associated Capital's historical news coverage. Associated Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.49 and 33.73, respectively. We have considered Associated Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.71
32.61
After-hype Price
33.73
Upside
Associated Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Associated Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Associated Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Associated Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Associated Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Associated Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.12
 0.00  
  0.03 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.71
32.61
0.00 
11,200  
Notes

Associated Capital Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Associated Capital is listed for 32.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Associated is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Associated Capital is about 466.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.68. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.76. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Associated Capital last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2023. The entity had 1005:1000 split on the 29th of July 2020. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Associated Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Associated Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Associated Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Associated Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Associated Capital rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Associated Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Associated Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Associated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Associated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Associated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Associated Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Associated Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Associated Capital Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Associated Capital based on analysis of Associated Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Associated Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Associated Capital's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0046440.004760.005590.004344
Price To Sales Ratio45.4660.7313.9527.58

Story Coverage note for Associated Capital

The number of cover stories for Associated Capital depends on current market conditions and Associated Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Associated Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Associated Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Associated Capital Short Properties

Associated Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Associated Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Associated Capital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Associated Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Associated Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments325.4 M
When determining whether Associated Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Associated Capital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Associated Capital Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Associated Capital Group Stock:
Check out Associated Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Associated Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Associated Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for Associated Stock analysis

When running Associated Capital's price analysis, check to measure Associated Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Associated Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Associated Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Associated Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Associated Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Associated Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Associated Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Associated Capital. If investors know Associated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Associated Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.214
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
1.72
Revenue Per Share
0.583
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.25)
The market value of Associated Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Associated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Associated Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Associated Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Associated Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Associated Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Associated Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Associated Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Associated Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.