Apple Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown |
| AAPL -- USA Stock | USD 213.32 3.08 1.47% |
We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Apple hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Apple from the prospective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apple over a specific investment horizon. Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
| Time Horizon | 30 Days Login to change |
Apple After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Apple Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
August 17, 2018
213.32
Current ValueApple is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple is based on 1 month time horizon.
Apple Next Price Analysis
| Daily Expected return | Period Volatility | Hype elasticity | Related hype elasticity | Average news density | Related news density | Next Expected Hype |
| 0.51% | 1.47% | 0.61% | 0.17% | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
| 213.32 | 213.93 | 0.29% |
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Apple Hype Timeline
Apple is presently traded for213.32. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.61 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Apple is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 213.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 122.5%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.29% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 434.91% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 213.49. The company reported previous year revenue of 255.27 B. Net Income was 56.12 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.19 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Apple Related Hype Analysis
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | ||
| HP | 0.16 | 4 per month | 0.62 | 0.06 | 1.47 | (1.08) | 2.51 | |
| Apple | 1.20 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.31 | 2.92 | (0.94) | 6.83 | |
| Broadridge Financial Solutions | (0.42) | 3 per month | 0.78 | 0.15 | 1.73 | (1.73) | 11.44 | |
| CA | 0.04 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.43) | 0.39 | (0.43) | 1.19 | |
| (2.69) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.75 | (2.19) | 20.74 | ||
| Gartner | 1.76 | 6 per month | 1.39 | (0.0446) | 2.51 | (2.06) | 4.67 | |
| NQ Mobile | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 21Vianet Group | (0.08) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.14 | (5.83) | 12.23 | |
| VeriSign | 0.95 | 5 per month | 0.97 | 0.0448 | 1.95 | (1.11) | 5.07 | |
| Workday | 2.46 | 5 per month | 2.07 | 0.08 | 2.11 | (2.87) | 7.18 |
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Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.