Apple Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AAPL -- USA Stock  

USD 220.65  1.34  0.61%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Apple hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Apple from the prospective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apple over a specific investment horizon. Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Apple After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Apple Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 22, 2018
220.65
Current Value
Downside
215.42
221.15
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
226.88
Upside
Apple is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple is based on 1 month time horizon.

Apple Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.02% 1.89% 0.06%  0.01% 4 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
220.65221.150.07%
58.70% 

Apple Hype Timeline

Apple is presently traded for220.65. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Apple is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 221.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 58.7%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.07% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 324.66% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 220.64. The company reported previous year revenue of 255.27 B. Net Income was 56.12 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.19 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Apple Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Fabrinet 1.30 4 per month 0.00  0.06  2.59 (3.03)  5.19 
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company(1.05) 6 per month 0.00 (0.16)  3.23 (4.39)  8.03 
LG Display Co Ltd(0.24) 4 per month 0.00  0.0375  3.83 (2.96)  11.20 
Emerson Radio Corp(0.0094) 2 per month 0.00  0.07  2.93 (2.18)  8.84 
Esports Entertainment Group 0.0479 2 per month 0.00 (0.05)  7.14 (7.95)  19.88 
GoPro 0.38 6 per month 4.31  0.13  4.53 (7.86)  13.54 
The Guitammer Company 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
iRobot Corporation(6.19) 5 per month 0.00 (0.17)  3.83 (7.06)  19.90 
Kyocera Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0478)  1.15 (1.63)  2.81 
Eastman Kodak Company(0.06) 2 per month 0.00 (0.07)  9.35 (6.52)  18.78 

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