Advance Auto Parts Stock Analysis

AAP Stock  USD 78.69  1.49  1.93%   
Advance Auto Parts is overvalued with Real Value of 62.63 and Target Price of 68.61. The main objective of Advance Auto stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Advance Auto Parts is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Advance Auto's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Advance Auto's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Advance Auto's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Advance Auto stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Advance Auto is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Advance Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Advance Auto's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Advance Auto Parts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Advance Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Advance Auto Parts has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 26th of September 2005. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and light and heavy duty trucks. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina. Advance Auto operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 41000 people. For more info on Advance Auto Parts please contact Thomas Greco at 540 362 4911 or go to https://shop.advanceautoparts.com.

Advance Auto Quarterly Total Revenue

2.46 Billion

Advance Auto Parts Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Advance Auto's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Advance Auto Parts or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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Advance Auto Parts Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Advance Auto to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Advance Auto previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
29th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Advance Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Advance Auto's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2004-02-18
2003-12-310.270.30.0311 
2003-08-07
2003-06-300.350.40.0514 
2010-02-17
2009-12-310.460.39-0.0715 
View All Earnings Estimates

Advance Auto Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Advance Auto stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Retail Idea
Retail
USA Equities from Retail industry as classified by Fama & French
Macroaxis Index Idea
Macroaxis Index
Macroaxis power theme of selected equities with solid fundamentals

Advance Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Advance Auto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Advance Auto Parts backward and forwards among themselves. Advance Auto's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Advance Auto's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Two Sigma Investments Llc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2023-09-30
931.1 K
Capital World Investors2023-12-31
918.3 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
888.7 K
Federated Hermes Inc2023-12-31
842.2 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
811.7 K
Legion Partners Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
773 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2023-12-31
708.3 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
7.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
6.8 M
Note, although Advance Auto's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Advance Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.69 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Advance Auto's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Advance Auto's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Advance Profitablity

Advance Auto's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Advance Auto's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Advance Auto is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Advance Auto's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Advance Auto's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Advance Auto's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.21 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.16  0.14 

Management Efficiency

At this time, Advance Auto's Return On Tangible Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/20/2024, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.21, while Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.14. At this time, Advance Auto's Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/20/2024, Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to grow to about 5.4 B, while Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 2.9 B. Advance Auto's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Advance Auto manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 39.94  41.94 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 15.91  9.94 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 11.13  8.34 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.81  4.84 
Enterprise Value Multiple 11.13  8.34 
Price Fair Value 3.81  4.84 
Enterprise Value1.6 B1.5 B
The analysis of Advance Auto's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Advance Auto's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Advance Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0127
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0127
Forward Dividend Rate
1
Beta
1.197

Technical Drivers

As of the 20th of April, Advance Auto shows the Downside Deviation of 2.38, mean deviation of 1.87, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.113. Advance Auto Parts technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for Advance Auto Parts, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Advance Auto Parts variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Advance Auto Parts is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 78.69 per share. Given that Advance Auto has jensen alpha of 0.287, we suggest you to validate Advance Auto Parts's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Advance Auto Parts Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Advance Auto middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Advance Auto Parts. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Advance Auto Parts Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Advance Auto insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Advance Auto's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Advance Auto insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Advance Auto Outstanding Bonds

Advance Auto issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Advance Auto Parts uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Advance bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Advance Auto Parts has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Advance Auto Predictive Daily Indicators

Advance Auto intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Advance Auto stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Advance Auto Corporate Filings

8th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
28th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
20th of March 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F3
19th of March 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
18th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
12th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
8th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Advance Auto Forecast Models

Advance Auto's time-series forecasting models are one of many Advance Auto's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Advance Auto's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Advance Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Advance Auto prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Advance shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Advance Auto. By using and applying Advance Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Advance entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.40  0.36 

Current Advance Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Advance analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Advance analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
68.61Hold29Odds
Advance Auto Parts current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Advance analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Advance stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Advance Auto Parts, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Advance conference calls.
Advance Analyst Advice Details

Advance Stock Analysis Indicators

Advance Auto Parts stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Advance Auto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Advance Auto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Advance Auto stock analysis, traders can identify Advance Auto position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow270.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity2.5 B
Capital Lease Obligations2.2 B
Property Plant And Equipment Net4.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments503.5 M
Cash503.5 M
50 Day M A74.119
Net Interest Income-85.9 M
Total Current Liabilities5.3 B
Forward Price Earnings18.7617
Investments-277.8 M
Interest Expense88.1 M
Stock Based Compensation45.6 M
Long Term Debt1.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.6 M
Tax Provision58.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.399
Accounts Payable4.2 B
Net Debt3.9 B
Other Operating Expenses11.2 B
Non Current Assets Total6.6 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity13 B
Non Currrent Assets Other-143.9 M
When determining whether Advance Auto Parts is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Advance Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Advance Auto Parts Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Advance Auto Parts Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Advance Auto Parts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the Advance Auto Parts information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Advance Auto's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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Is Advance Auto's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advance Auto. If investors know Advance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Advance Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
Dividend Share
2.25
Earnings Share
0.5
Revenue Per Share
189.925
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
The market value of Advance Auto Parts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advance Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advance Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Advance Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advance Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Advance Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Advance Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advance Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.