Advance Auto Parts Stock Analysis
AAP Stock | USD 78.69 1.49 1.93% |
Advance Auto Parts is overvalued with Real Value of 62.63 and Target Price of 68.61. The main objective of Advance Auto stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Advance Auto Parts is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Advance Auto's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Advance Auto's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Advance Auto's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Advance Auto stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Advance Auto is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Advance Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Advance Auto's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Advance |
Advance Stock Analysis Notes
About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Advance Auto Parts has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 26th of September 2005. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and light and heavy duty trucks. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina. Advance Auto operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 41000 people. For more info on Advance Auto Parts please contact Thomas Greco at 540 362 4911 or go to https://shop.advanceautoparts.com.Advance Auto Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Advance Auto Parts Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Advance Auto's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Advance Auto Parts or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
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Advance Auto Parts Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Advance Auto to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Advance Auto previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
29th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
27th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Advance Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Advance Auto's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004-02-18 | 2003-12-31 | 0.27 | 0.3 | 0.03 | 11 | ||
2003-08-07 | 2003-06-30 | 0.35 | 0.4 | 0.05 | 14 | ||
2010-02-17 | 2009-12-31 | 0.46 | 0.39 | -0.07 | 15 |
Advance Auto Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Advance Auto stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
RetailUSA Equities from Retail industry as classified by Fama & French | ||
Macroaxis IndexMacroaxis power theme of selected equities with solid fundamentals |
Advance Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Advance Auto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Advance Auto Parts backward and forwards among themselves. Advance Auto's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Advance Auto's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2023-09-30 | 931.1 K | Capital World Investors | 2023-12-31 | 918.3 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 888.7 K | Federated Hermes Inc | 2023-12-31 | 842.2 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 811.7 K | Legion Partners Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 773 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 708.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 7.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 6.8 M |
Advance Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.69 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Advance Auto's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Advance Auto's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Advance Profitablity
Advance Auto's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Advance Auto's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Advance Auto is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Advance Auto's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Advance Auto's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Advance Auto's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.12 | 0.21 | |
Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.04 | |
Return On Equity | 0.16 | 0.14 |
Management Efficiency
At this time, Advance Auto's Return On Tangible Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/20/2024, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.21, while Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.14. At this time, Advance Auto's Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/20/2024, Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to grow to about 5.4 B, while Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 2.9 B. Advance Auto's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Advance Auto manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 39.94 | 41.94 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 15.91 | 9.94 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 11.13 | 8.34 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 3.81 | 4.84 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 11.13 | 8.34 | |
Price Fair Value | 3.81 | 4.84 | |
Enterprise Value | 1.6 B | 1.5 B |
The analysis of Advance Auto's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Advance Auto's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Advance Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield 0.0127 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0127 | Forward Dividend Rate 1 | Beta 1.197 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 20th of April, Advance Auto shows the Downside Deviation of 2.38, mean deviation of 1.87, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.113. Advance Auto Parts technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for Advance Auto Parts, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Advance Auto Parts variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Advance Auto Parts is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 78.69 per share. Given that Advance Auto has jensen alpha of 0.287, we suggest you to validate Advance Auto Parts's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Advance Auto Parts Price Movement Analysis
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Advance Auto middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Advance Auto Parts. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Advance Auto Parts Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Advance Auto insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Advance Auto's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Advance Auto insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Herman Word over a month ago Acquisition by Herman Word of 9705 shares of Advance Auto at 79.53 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Jimmie Wade over six months ago Exercise or conversion by Jimmie Wade of 26347 shares of Advance Auto subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Word Herman L Jr over a year ago Payment of tradable shares by Word Herman L Jr of Advance Auto subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Word Herman L Jr over a year ago Payment of 172 shares by Word Herman L Jr of Advance Auto subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Advance Auto Outstanding Bonds
Advance Auto issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Advance Auto Parts uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Advance bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Advance Auto Parts has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
AAP 59 09 MAR 26 Corp BondUS00751YAH99 | View | |
AAP 35 15 MAR 32 Corp BondUS00751YAG17 | View | |
US00751YAF34 Corp BondUS00751YAF34 | View | |
US00751YAE68 Corp BondUS00751YAE68 | View | |
AAP 595 09 MAR 28 Corp BondUS00751YAJ55 | View |
Advance Auto Predictive Daily Indicators
Advance Auto intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Advance Auto stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Advance Auto Corporate Filings
8th of April 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
28th of March 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 22nd of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F3 | 20th of March 2024 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
F3 | 19th of March 2024 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
F4 | 18th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 12th of March 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 8th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
Advance Auto Forecast Models
Advance Auto's time-series forecasting models are one of many Advance Auto's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Advance Auto's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Advance Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Advance Auto prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Advance shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Advance Auto. By using and applying Advance Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Advance entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.40 | 0.36 |
Current Advance Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Advance analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Advance analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
68.61 | Hold | 29 | Odds |
Most Advance analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Advance stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Advance Auto Parts, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Advance conference calls.
Advance Stock Analysis Indicators
Advance Auto Parts stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Advance Auto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Advance Auto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Advance Auto stock analysis, traders can identify Advance Auto position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 270.8 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 2.5 B | |
Capital Lease Obligations | 2.2 B | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 4.2 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 503.5 M | |
Cash | 503.5 M | |
50 Day M A | 74.119 | |
Net Interest Income | -85.9 M | |
Total Current Liabilities | 5.3 B | |
Forward Price Earnings | 18.7617 | |
Investments | -277.8 M | |
Interest Expense | 88.1 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 45.6 M | |
Long Term Debt | 1.8 B | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.6 M | |
Tax Provision | 58.1 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.399 | |
Accounts Payable | 4.2 B | |
Net Debt | 3.9 B | |
Other Operating Expenses | 11.2 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 6.6 B | |
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 13 B | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | -143.9 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Advance Auto Parts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. Note that the Advance Auto Parts information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Advance Auto's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
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When running Advance Auto's price analysis, check to measure Advance Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advance Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Advance Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advance Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advance Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advance Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Advance Auto's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advance Auto. If investors know Advance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Advance Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Dividend Share 2.25 | Earnings Share 0.5 | Revenue Per Share 189.925 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Advance Auto Parts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advance Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advance Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Advance Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advance Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Advance Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Advance Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advance Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.