American Airlines Group Stock Performance

AAL Stock  USD 14.11  0.15  1.07%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.7, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Airlines will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect American Airlines historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. American Airlines right now shows a risk of 2.84%. Please confirm American Airlines treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside to decide if American Airlines will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days American Airlines Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, American Airlines is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.21)
Five Day Return
0.29
Year To Date Return
3.87
Ten Year Return
(62.62)
All Time Return
(27.67)
Last Split Factor
0:1
Dividend Date
2020-02-19
Ex Dividend Date
2020-02-04
Last Split Date
2013-12-09
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Begin Period Cash Flow2.2 B
  

American Airlines Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,430  in American Airlines Group on December 19, 2023 and sell it today you would lose (19.00) from holding American Airlines Group or give up 1.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. American Airlines Group is generating 0.0179% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.8428% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than American, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Airlines is expected to generate 5.73 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.78 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of volatility.

American Airlines Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Airlines' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as American Airlines Group, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a American Airlines' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0063

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Negative ReturnsAAL

Estimated Market Risk

 2.84
  actual daily
25
75% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

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  actual daily
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Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average American Airlines is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of American Airlines by adding American Airlines to a well-diversified portfolio.

American Airlines Fundamentals Growth

American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Airlines, and American Airlines fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.

About American Airlines Performance

To evaluate American Airlines Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when American Airlines generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare American Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand American Airlines market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents American's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Return On Capital Employed 0.1  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity(0.16)(0.17)

Things to note about American Airlines performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Airlines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Airlines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 40.66 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.53, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. American Airlines has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist American Airlines until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Airlines' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Airlines sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Airlines' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
American Airlines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hudson Bay Capital Management LP Invests 5.12 Million in American Airlines Group Inc. - Defense World
Evaluating American Airlines' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Airlines' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American Airlines' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Airlines' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Airlines' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Airlines' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Airlines' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Airlines' stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Airlines' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Airlines' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Airlines' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether American Airlines is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Airlines Group. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the American Airlines information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Airlines' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running American Airlines' price analysis, check to measure American Airlines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Airlines is operating at the current time. Most of American Airlines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Airlines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Airlines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Airlines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Airlines' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Airlines. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Airlines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.97)
Earnings Share
1.21
Revenue Per Share
80.764
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0396
The market value of American Airlines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.