Erie Indemnity Current Financial Leverage

ERIE Stock  USD 378.87  2.28  0.60%   
Erie Indemnity holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.029. At present, Erie Indemnity's Short Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. Erie Indemnity's financial risk is the risk to Erie Indemnity stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt. In other words, with a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Earnings Per Share (EPS).
At present, Erie Indemnity's Short Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.
  
Check out the analysis of Erie Indemnity Fundamentals Over Time.
For information on how to trade Erie Stock refer to our How to Trade Erie Stock guide.

Erie Indemnity Financial Leverage Rating

Erie Indemnity bond ratings play a critical role in determining how much Erie Indemnity have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Erie Indemnity's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5  Healthy
Beneish M Score

Erie Indemnity Debt to Cash Allocation

As Erie Indemnity follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Erie Indemnity's decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors. Many companies eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
The current year's Debt To Equity is expected to grow to -0.14The company has a current ratio of 1.15, suggesting that it is not liquid enough and may have problems paying out its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Erie Indemnity until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Erie Indemnity's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Erie Indemnity sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Erie to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Erie Indemnity's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Erie Indemnity Total Assets Over Time

Erie Indemnity Assets Financed by Debt

Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Erie Indemnity's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Erie Indemnity, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility. Like all other financial ratios, a an Erie Indemnity debt ratio should be compared their industry average or other competing firms.

Erie Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

76.87 Million

At present, Erie Indemnity's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Understaning Erie Indemnity Use of Financial Leverage

Erie Indemnity financial leverage ratio helps in determining the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures Erie Indemnity's total debt position, including all of outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with the equity. In simple terms, the high financial leverage means the cost of production, together with running the business day-to-day, is high, whereas, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business and generally considered by investors to be a good sign. So if creditors own a majority of Erie Indemnity assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. Understanding the composition and structure of overall Erie Indemnity debt and outstanding corporate bonds gives a good idea of how risky the capital structure of a business and if it is worth investing in it. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Erie Indemnity's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Erie Indemnity's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Short and Long Term Debt Total107.9 M76.9 M
Net Debt-144.1 M-151.3 M
Long Term Debt105.5 M110.8 M
Short Term Debt533.4 M560 M
Long Term Debt Total105.5 M87.8 M
Short and Long Term Debt2.1 M0.0
Net Debt To EBITDA(0.25)(0.27)
Debt To Equity(0.15)(0.14)
Interest Debt Per Share(4.60)(4.37)
Debt To Assets(0.1)(0.09)
Long Term Debt To Capitalization(0.94)(0.89)
Total Debt To Capitalization(0.17)(0.16)
Debt Equity Ratio(0.15)(0.14)
Debt Ratio(0.1)(0.09)
Cash Flow To Debt Ratio(2.05)(1.94)
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Erie Indemnity Investors Sentiment

The influence of Erie Indemnity's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Erie. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Erie Indemnity's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Erie. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Erie can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Erie Indemnity. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Erie Indemnity's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Erie Indemnity's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Erie Indemnity's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Erie Indemnity.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Erie Indemnity in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Erie Indemnity's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Erie Indemnity options trading.

Pair Trading with Erie Indemnity

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Erie Indemnity position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Erie Indemnity will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Erie Indemnity could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Erie Indemnity when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Erie Indemnity - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Erie Indemnity to buy it.
The correlation of Erie Indemnity is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Erie Indemnity moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Erie Indemnity moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Erie Indemnity can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Erie Indemnity is a strong investment it is important to analyze Erie Indemnity's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Erie Indemnity's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Erie Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out the analysis of Erie Indemnity Fundamentals Over Time.
For information on how to trade Erie Stock refer to our How to Trade Erie Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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Is Erie Indemnity's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Erie Indemnity. If investors know Erie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Erie Indemnity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.697
Dividend Share
4.845
Earnings Share
8.51
Revenue Per Share
70.773
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.167
The market value of Erie Indemnity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Erie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Erie Indemnity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Erie Indemnity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Erie Indemnity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Erie Indemnity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Erie Indemnity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Erie Indemnity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Erie Indemnity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

What is Financial Leverage?

Financial leverage is the use of borrowed money (debt) to finance the purchase of assets with the expectation that the income or capital gain from the new asset will exceed the cost of borrowing. In most cases, the debt provider will limit how much risk it is ready to take and indicate a limit on the extent of the leverage it will allow. In the case of asset-backed lending, the financial provider uses the assets as collateral until the borrower repays the loan. In the case of a cash flow loan, the general creditworthiness of the company is used to back the loan. The concept of leverage is common in the business world. It is mostly used to boost the returns on equity capital of a company, especially when the business is unable to increase its operating efficiency and returns on total investment. Because earnings on borrowing are higher than the interest payable on debt, the company's total earnings will increase, ultimately boosting stockholders' profits.

Leverage and Capital Costs

The debt to equity ratio plays a role in the working average cost of capital (WACC). The overall interest on debt represents the break-even point that must be obtained to profitability in a given venture. Thus, WACC is essentially the average interest an organization owes on the capital it has borrowed for leverage. Let's say equity represents 60% of borrowed capital, and debt is 40%. This results in a financial leverage calculation of 40/60, or 0.6667. The organization owes 10% on all equity and 5% on all debt. That means that the weighted average cost of capital is (.4)(5) + (.6)(10) - or 8%. For every $10,000 borrowed, this organization will owe $800 in interest. Profit must be higher than 8% on the project to offset the cost of interest and justify this leverage.

Benefits of Financial Leverage

Leverage provides the following benefits for companies:
  • Leverage is an essential tool a company's management can use to make the best financing and investment decisions.
  • It provides a variety of financing sources by which the firm can achieve its target earnings.
  • Leverage is also an essential technique in investing as it helps companies set a threshold for the expansion of business operations. For example, it can be used to recommend restrictions on business expansion once the projected return on additional investment is lower than the cost of debt.
By borrowing funds, the firm incurs a debt that must be paid. But, this debt is paid in small installments over a relatively long period of time. This frees funds for more immediate use in the stock market. For example, suppose a company can afford a new factory but will be left with negligible free cash. In that case, it may be better to finance the factory and spend the cash on hand on inputs, labor, or even hold a significant portion as a reserve against unforeseen circumstances.

The Risk of Financial Leverage

The most obvious and apparent risk of leverage is that if price changes unexpectedly, the leveraged position can lead to severe losses. For example, imagine a hedge fund seeded by $50 worth of investor money. The hedge fund borrows another $50 and buys an asset worth $100, leading to a leverage ratio of 2:1. For the investor, this is neither good nor bad -- until the asset price changes. If the asset price goes up 10 percent, the investor earns $10 on $50 of capital, a net gain of 20 percent, and is very pleased with the increased gains from the leverage. However, if the asset price crashes unexpectedly, say by 30 percent, the investor loses $30 on $50 of capital, suffering a 60 percent loss. In other words, the effect of leverage is to increase the volatility of returns and increase the effects of a price change on the asset to the bottom line while increasing the chance for profit as well.