Vanguard Tax Managed Capital Fund Market Value
| VTCIX Fund | USD 128.50 0.31 0.24% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Tax 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Tax's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Tax.
| 04/25/2023 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Tax on April 25, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Tax Managed Capital or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Tax over 360 days. Vanguard Tax is related to or competes with Vanguard Materials, Vanguard Limited, Vanguard Limited, Vanguard Global, Vanguard Emerging, Vanguard Market, and Vanguard Market. The fund purchases stocks that pay lower dividends and are included in the Russell 1000 Index-an index that is made up o... More
Vanguard Tax Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Tax's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Tax Managed Capital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.7338 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0165 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.53 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.25) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.21 |
Vanguard Tax Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Tax's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Tax's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Tax historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Tax's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0686 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0091 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.000032) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0168 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0672 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Tax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Tax Managed Backtested Returns
We consider Vanguard Tax very steady. Vanguard Tax Managed owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0741, which indicates the fund had a 0.0741% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vanguard Tax Managed Capital, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Tax's Coefficient Of Variation of 924.91, semi deviation of 0.636, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0686 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0548%. The entity has a beta of 1.06, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Vanguard Tax returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Tax is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.66 |
Good predictability
Vanguard Tax Managed Capital has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Tax time series from 25th of April 2023 to 22nd of October 2023 and 22nd of October 2023 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Tax Managed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Vanguard Tax price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.66 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.5 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 65.28 |
Vanguard Tax Managed lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Tax mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Tax's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Tax returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Tax has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Tax regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Tax mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Tax mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Tax mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Tax Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Tax's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Tax mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Tax autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Tax autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Tax mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Tax Managed Capital.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Vanguard Tax Correlation, Vanguard Tax Volatility and Vanguard Tax Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Tax. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Vanguard Tax technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.