Tiaa Cref Social Choice Fund Market Value
| TRSCX Fund | USD 27.28 0.18 0.66% |
| Symbol | Tiaa-cref |
Tiaa-cref Social 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tiaa-cref Social's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tiaa-cref Social.
| 03/18/2024 |
| 04/17/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Tiaa-cref Social on March 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tiaa Cref Social Choice or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tiaa-cref Social over 30 days. Tiaa-cref Social is related to or competes with Tiaa-cref Emerging, Tiaa Cref, Tiaa-cref Emerging, Tiaa-cref Emerging, Tiaa Cref, Tiaa Cref, and Tiaa Cref. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in large-cap equity securities that meet the funds ESG criteria. More
Tiaa-cref Social Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tiaa-cref Social's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tiaa Cref Social Choice upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8193 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0168 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.15 |
Tiaa-cref Social Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tiaa-cref Social's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tiaa-cref Social's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tiaa-cref Social historical prices to predict the future Tiaa-cref Social's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0619 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0581 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0045 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.015 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.31 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tiaa-cref Social's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tiaa Cref Social Backtested Returns
We consider Tiaa-cref Social very steady. Tiaa Cref Social owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.093, which indicates the fund had a 0.093% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Tiaa Cref Social Choice, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Tiaa-cref Social's Coefficient Of Variation of 1041.01, risk adjusted performance of 0.0619, and Semi Deviation of 0.6565 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0693%. The entity has a beta of 0.046, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Tiaa-cref Social's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tiaa-cref Social is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.22 |
Weak reverse predictability
Tiaa Cref Social Choice has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tiaa-cref Social time series from 18th of March 2024 to 2nd of April 2024 and 2nd of April 2024 to 17th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tiaa Cref Social price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Tiaa-cref Social price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.22 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.41 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.16 |
Tiaa Cref Social lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Tiaa-cref Social mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tiaa-cref Social's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tiaa-cref Social returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tiaa-cref Social has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Tiaa-cref Social regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tiaa-cref Social mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tiaa-cref Social mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tiaa-cref Social mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Tiaa-cref Social Lagged Returns
When evaluating Tiaa-cref Social's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tiaa-cref Social mutual fund have on its future price. Tiaa-cref Social autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tiaa-cref Social autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tiaa-cref Social mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tiaa Cref Social Choice.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tiaa-cref Social in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tiaa-cref Social's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tiaa-cref Social options trading.
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Check out Tiaa-cref Social Correlation, Tiaa-cref Social Volatility and Tiaa-cref Social Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tiaa-cref Social. Note that the Tiaa Cref Social information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tiaa-cref Social's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Tiaa-cref Social technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.