Large Cap Value Fund Market Value

SLVCX Fund  USD 19.16  0.18  0.93%   
Large Cap's market value is the price at which a share of Large Cap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Large Cap Value investors about its performance. Large Cap is trading at 19.16 as of the 18th of April 2024; that is -0.93 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.34.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Large Cap Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Large Cap over a given investment horizon. Check out Large Cap Correlation, Large Cap Volatility and Large Cap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Large Cap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Large Cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Large Cap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Large Cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Large Cap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Large Cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Large Cap.
0.00
04/29/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
04/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Large Cap on April 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Large Cap Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Large Cap over 720 days. Large Cap is related to or competes with Dodge Cox, American Funds, American Funds, American Mutual, and Vanguard Value. The fund will normally invest at least 80 percent of its total assets in a diversified portfolio of equity securities is... More

Large Cap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Large Cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Large Cap Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Large Cap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Large Cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Large Cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Large Cap historical prices to predict the future Large Cap's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Large Cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3519.1619.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5119.3220.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0518.8719.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.3620.0820.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Large Cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Large Cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Large Cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Large Cap Value.

Large Cap Value Backtested Returns

We consider Large Cap very steady. Large Cap Value has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0359, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0359% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Large Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Large Cap's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0322, mean deviation of 0.6453, and Downside Deviation of 0.8718 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0291%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.06, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Large Cap returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Large Cap is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Large Cap Value has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Large Cap time series from 29th of April 2022 to 24th of April 2023 and 24th of April 2023 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Large Cap Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Large Cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.62

Large Cap Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Large Cap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Large Cap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Large Cap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Large Cap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Large Cap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Large Cap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Large Cap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Large Cap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Large Cap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Large Cap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Large Cap mutual fund have on its future price. Large Cap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Large Cap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Large Cap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Large Cap Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Large Cap in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Large Cap's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Large Cap options trading.

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Check out Large Cap Correlation, Large Cap Volatility and Large Cap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Large Cap.
Note that the Large Cap Value information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Large Cap's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Large Cap technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Large Cap technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Large Cap trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...