Astra International Tbk Stock Market Value

PTAIY Stock  USD 6.22  0.02  0.32%   
Astra International's market value is the price at which a share of Astra International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Astra International Tbk investors about its performance. Astra International is trading at 6.22 as of the 25th of April 2024; that is 0.32 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Astra International Tbk and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Astra International over a given investment horizon. Check out Astra International Correlation, Astra International Volatility and Astra International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Astra International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Astra International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Astra International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astra International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Astra International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Astra International's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Astra International.
0.00
03/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Astra International on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Astra International Tbk or generate 0.0% return on investment in Astra International over 30 days. Astra International is related to or competes with Allison Transmission, Luminar Technologies, Lear, BorgWarner, Autoliv, Fox Factory, and LKQ. PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipm... More

Astra International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Astra International's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Astra International Tbk upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Astra International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Astra International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Astra International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Astra International historical prices to predict the future Astra International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Astra International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.956.228.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.085.357.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.766.038.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.976.156.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Astra International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Astra International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Astra International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Astra International Tbk.

Astra International Tbk Backtested Returns

Astra International Tbk secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0089, which signifies that the company had a -0.0089% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Astra International Tbk exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Astra International's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), mean deviation of 1.87, and Standard Deviation of 2.47 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Astra International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Astra International is expected to be smaller as well. Astra International Tbk has an expected return of -0.0203%. Please make sure to confirm Astra International Tbk value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Astra International Tbk performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.15  

Insignificant predictability

Astra International Tbk has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Astra International time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Astra International Tbk price movement. The serial correlation of 0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Astra International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.15
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Astra International Tbk lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Astra International pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Astra International's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Astra International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Astra International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Astra International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Astra International pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Astra International pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Astra International pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Astra International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Astra International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Astra International pink sheet have on its future price. Astra International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Astra International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Astra International pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Astra International Tbk.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Astra International Correlation, Astra International Volatility and Astra International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Astra International.
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When running Astra International's price analysis, check to measure Astra International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astra International is operating at the current time. Most of Astra International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astra International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astra International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astra International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Astra International technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Astra International technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Astra International trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...