Primerica Stock Market Value
PRI Stock | USD 256.18 3.73 1.48% |
Symbol | Primerica |
Primerica Price To Book Ratio
Is Primerica's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Primerica. If investors know Primerica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Primerica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.091 | Dividend Share 2.7 | Earnings Share 15.93 | Revenue Per Share 80.135 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 |
The market value of Primerica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Primerica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Primerica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Primerica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Primerica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Primerica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Primerica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Primerica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Primerica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Primerica 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Primerica's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Primerica.
02/27/2024 |
| 03/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Primerica on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Primerica or generate 0.0% return on investment in Primerica over 30 days. Primerica is related to or competes with CNO Financial, Globe Life, Vericity, National Western, Abacus Life, Citizens, and Qualcomm Incorporated. Primerica, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products to middle-income households in the United S... More
Primerica Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Primerica's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Primerica upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 0.9427 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.203 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 4.36 | |||
Value At Risk | (1.29) | |||
Potential Upside | 1.98 |
Primerica Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Primerica's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Primerica's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Primerica historical prices to predict the future Primerica's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1864 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.2596 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 0.1018 | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.2335 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.5048 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Primerica's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Primerica Backtested Returns
Primerica appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Primerica maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.33, which implies the firm had a 0.33% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Primerica, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Primerica's Semi Deviation of 0.5251, coefficient of variation of 305.92, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1864 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Primerica holds a performance score of 25. The company holds a Beta of 0.68, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Primerica's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Primerica is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Primerica's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Primerica's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.20 |
Weak predictability
Primerica has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Primerica time series from 27th of February 2024 to 13th of March 2024 and 13th of March 2024 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Primerica price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Primerica price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.2 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.36 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 8.75 |
Primerica lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Primerica stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Primerica's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Primerica returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Primerica has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Primerica regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Primerica stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Primerica stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Primerica stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Primerica Lagged Returns
When evaluating Primerica's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Primerica stock have on its future price. Primerica autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Primerica autocorrelation shows the relationship between Primerica stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Primerica.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Primerica Investors Sentiment
The influence of Primerica's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Primerica. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Primerica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Primerica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Primerica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Primerica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Primerica's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Primerica's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Primerica's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Primerica.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Primerica in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Primerica's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Primerica options trading.
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Align your risk with return expectations
Check out Primerica Correlation, Primerica Volatility and Primerica Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Primerica. For more detail on how to invest in Primerica Stock please use our How to Invest in Primerica guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Primerica Stock analysis
When running Primerica's price analysis, check to measure Primerica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Primerica is operating at the current time. Most of Primerica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Primerica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Primerica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Primerica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Primerica technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.