Post Holdings Stock Market Value
| POST Stock | USD 102.92 1.53 1.51% |
| Symbol | Post |
Post Holdings Price To Book Ratio
Is Post Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Post Holdings. If investors know Post will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Post Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Earnings Share 4.65 | Revenue Per Share 122.31 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.255 | Return On Assets 0.039 |
The market value of Post Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Post that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Post Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Post Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Post Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Post Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Post Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Post Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Post Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Post Holdings 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Post Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Post Holdings.
| 04/29/2022 |
| 04/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Post Holdings on April 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Post Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Post Holdings over 720 days. Post Holdings is related to or competes with Central Garden, Central Garden, and A2 Milk. Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally More
Post Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Post Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Post Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8791 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0642 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.06 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.76 |
Post Holdings Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Post Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Post Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Post Holdings historical prices to predict the future Post Holdings' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0721 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1072 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.035 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.097 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2526 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Post Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Post Holdings Backtested Returns
We consider Post Holdings very steady. Post Holdings maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.13, which implies the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Post Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Post Holdings' Coefficient Of Variation of 943.19, risk adjusted performance of 0.0721, and Semi Deviation of 0.712 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Post Holdings has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.52, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Post Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Post Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. Post Holdings right now holds a risk of 1.36%. Please check Post Holdings downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and relative strength index , to decide if Post Holdings will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.26 |
Poor predictability
Post Holdings has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Post Holdings time series from 29th of April 2022 to 24th of April 2023 and 24th of April 2023 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Post Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Post Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.26 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.23 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 54.95 |
Post Holdings lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Post Holdings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Post Holdings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Post Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Post Holdings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Post Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Post Holdings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Post Holdings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Post Holdings stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Post Holdings Lagged Returns
When evaluating Post Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Post Holdings stock have on its future price. Post Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Post Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between Post Holdings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Post Holdings.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Post Holdings Investors Sentiment
The influence of Post Holdings' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Post. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Post Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Post. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Post can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Post Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Post Holdings' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Post Holdings' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Post Holdings' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Post Holdings.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Post Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Post Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Post Holdings options trading.
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Check out Post Holdings Correlation, Post Holdings Volatility and Post Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Post Holdings. For more information on how to buy Post Stock please use our How to Invest in Post Holdings guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Complementary Tools for Post Stock analysis
When running Post Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Post Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Post Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Post Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Post Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Post Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Post Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Post Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.