Pultegroup Stock Market Value
PHM Stock | USD 120.62 2.61 2.21% |
Symbol | PulteGroup |
PulteGroup Price To Book Ratio
Is PulteGroup's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PulteGroup. If investors know PulteGroup will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PulteGroup listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Dividend Share 0.68 | Earnings Share 11.98 | Revenue Per Share 73.021 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of PulteGroup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PulteGroup that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PulteGroup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PulteGroup's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PulteGroup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PulteGroup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PulteGroup's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PulteGroup is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PulteGroup's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
PulteGroup 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PulteGroup's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PulteGroup.
05/09/2022 |
| 03/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PulteGroup on May 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PulteGroup or generate 0.0% return on investment in PulteGroup over 690 days. PulteGroup is related to or competes with Merit Medical, Microchip Technology, FormFactor, Viemed Healthcare, Valens, Amgen, and GlucoTrack. PulteGroup, Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the homebuilding business in the United States More
PulteGroup Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PulteGroup's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PulteGroup upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 1.73 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0801 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 8.16 | |||
Value At Risk | (2.91) | |||
Potential Upside | 2.51 |
PulteGroup Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PulteGroup's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PulteGroup's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PulteGroup historical prices to predict the future PulteGroup's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0978 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.0371 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.0743 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.1464 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PulteGroup's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PulteGroup Backtested Returns
PulteGroup appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. PulteGroup maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.18, which implies the firm had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for PulteGroup, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate PulteGroup's Semi Deviation of 1.56, risk adjusted performance of 0.0978, and Coefficient Of Variation of 608.65 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, PulteGroup holds a performance score of 14. The company holds a Beta of 1.73, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PulteGroup will likely underperform. Please check PulteGroup's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether PulteGroup's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.90 |
Excellent predictability
PulteGroup has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PulteGroup time series from 9th of May 2022 to 19th of April 2023 and 19th of April 2023 to 29th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PulteGroup price movement. The serial correlation of 0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current PulteGroup price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.9 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.71 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 236.22 |
PulteGroup lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PulteGroup stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PulteGroup's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PulteGroup returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PulteGroup has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
PulteGroup regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PulteGroup stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PulteGroup stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PulteGroup stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
PulteGroup Lagged Returns
When evaluating PulteGroup's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PulteGroup stock have on its future price. PulteGroup autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PulteGroup autocorrelation shows the relationship between PulteGroup stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PulteGroup.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as PulteGroup using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.Build Optimal Portfolios
Align your risk with return expectations
Check out PulteGroup Correlation, PulteGroup Volatility and PulteGroup Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on PulteGroup. To learn how to invest in PulteGroup Stock, please use our How to Invest in PulteGroup guide.Note that the PulteGroup information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PulteGroup's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for PulteGroup Stock analysis
When running PulteGroup's price analysis, check to measure PulteGroup's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PulteGroup is operating at the current time. Most of PulteGroup's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PulteGroup's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PulteGroup's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PulteGroup to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges |
PulteGroup technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.