Vail Resorts Stock Market Value
| MTN Stock | USD 202.65 0.29 0.14% |
| Symbol | Vail |
Is Vail Resorts' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. If investors know Vail will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vail Resorts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vail Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vail Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vail Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Vail Resorts 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vail Resorts' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vail Resorts.
| 01/24/2024 |
| 04/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vail Resorts on January 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vail Resorts or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vail Resorts over 90 days. Vail Resorts is related to or competes with Marriot Vacations, Monarch Casino, Studio City, Hilton Grand, Playa Hotels, Golden Entertainment, and Ballys Corp. Vail Resorts, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas in the United States More
Vail Resorts Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vail Resorts' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vail Resorts upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.06 |
Vail Resorts Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vail Resorts' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vail Resorts' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vail Resorts historical prices to predict the future Vail Resorts' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.21) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.36) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.17) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vail Resorts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vail Resorts Backtested Returns
Vail Resorts owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0822, which indicates the firm had a -0.0822% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vail Resorts exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vail Resorts' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), coefficient of variation of (1,216), and Variance of 2.7 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.84, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vail Resorts' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vail Resorts is expected to be smaller as well. Vail Resorts has an expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to validate Vail Resorts value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Vail Resorts performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.51 |
Modest predictability
Vail Resorts has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vail Resorts time series from 24th of January 2024 to 9th of March 2024 and 9th of March 2024 to 23rd of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vail Resorts price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Vail Resorts price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.45 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 57.58 |
Vail Resorts lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vail Resorts stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vail Resorts' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vail Resorts returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vail Resorts has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vail Resorts regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vail Resorts stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vail Resorts stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vail Resorts stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vail Resorts Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vail Resorts' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vail Resorts stock have on its future price. Vail Resorts autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vail Resorts autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vail Resorts stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vail Resorts.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Complementary Tools for Vail Stock analysis
When running Vail Resorts' price analysis, check to measure Vail Resorts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vail Resorts is operating at the current time. Most of Vail Resorts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vail Resorts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vail Resorts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vail Resorts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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