John Hancock Disciplined Fund Market Value

JDVIX Fund  USD 15.48  0.11  0.72%   
John Hancock's market value is the price at which a share of John Hancock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of John Hancock Disciplined investors about its performance. John Hancock is trading at 15.48 as of the 28th of March 2024; that is 0.72 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of John Hancock Disciplined and determine expected loss or profit from investing in John Hancock over a given investment horizon. Check out John Hancock Correlation, John Hancock Volatility and John Hancock Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on John Hancock.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between John Hancock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John Hancock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John Hancock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

John Hancock 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to John Hancock's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of John Hancock.
0.00
02/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in John Hancock on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding John Hancock Disciplined or generate 0.0% return on investment in John Hancock over 30 days. John Hancock is related to or competes with Dodge Cox, Oakmark International, Dodge International, Oakmark International, Oakmark International, and Coca Cola. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in a portfolio of equity and equity-related securities i... More

John Hancock Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure John Hancock's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess John Hancock Disciplined upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

John Hancock Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for John Hancock's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as John Hancock's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use John Hancock historical prices to predict the future John Hancock's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of John Hancock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7115.3716.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5415.2015.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.6315.2915.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.3415.3615.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as John Hancock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against John Hancock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, John Hancock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in John Hancock Disciplined.

John Hancock Disciplined Backtested Returns

We consider John Hancock very steady. John Hancock Disciplined holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for John Hancock Disciplined, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out John Hancock's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 9.13, downside deviation of 0.811, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1043 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0123, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, John Hancock's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding John Hancock is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.84  

Very good predictability

John Hancock Disciplined has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between John Hancock time series from 27th of February 2024 to 13th of March 2024 and 13th of March 2024 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of John Hancock Disciplined price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current John Hancock price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.84
Spearman Rank Test0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

John Hancock Disciplined lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is John Hancock mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting John Hancock's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of John Hancock returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that John Hancock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

John Hancock regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If John Hancock mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if John Hancock mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in John Hancock mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

John Hancock Lagged Returns

When evaluating John Hancock's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of John Hancock mutual fund have on its future price. John Hancock autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, John Hancock autocorrelation shows the relationship between John Hancock mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in John Hancock Disciplined.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out John Hancock Correlation, John Hancock Volatility and John Hancock Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on John Hancock.
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When running John Hancock's price analysis, check to measure John Hancock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John Hancock is operating at the current time. Most of John Hancock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John Hancock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John Hancock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John Hancock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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John Hancock technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of John Hancock technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of John Hancock trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...