Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock Market Value
| HLT Stock | USD 198.82 1.66 0.83% |
| Symbol | Hilton |
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Price To Book Ratio
Is Hilton Worldwide's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hilton Worldwide. If investors know Hilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hilton Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 4.33 | Revenue Per Share 16.824 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.071 |
The market value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilton Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilton Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilton Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilton Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilton Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilton Worldwide is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilton Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Hilton Worldwide 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hilton Worldwide's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hilton Worldwide.
| 03/20/2024 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Hilton Worldwide on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hilton Worldwide Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hilton Worldwide over 30 days. Hilton Worldwide is related to or competes with Yatra Online, Despegar Corp, Mondee Holdings, MakeMyTrip, and TripAdvisor. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, owns, leases, manages, develops, and franchises hotels and resort... More
Hilton Worldwide Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hilton Worldwide's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hilton Worldwide Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0697 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.44 |
Hilton Worldwide Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hilton Worldwide's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hilton Worldwide's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hilton Worldwide historical prices to predict the future Hilton Worldwide's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0902 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0606 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0341 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0642 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1124 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hilton Worldwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Backtested Returns
We consider Hilton Worldwide very steady. Hilton Worldwide Holdings holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0927, which attests that the entity had a 0.0927% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Hilton Worldwide Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Hilton Worldwide's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0902, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1224, and Downside Deviation of 1.06 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.091%. Hilton Worldwide has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.13, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Hilton Worldwide returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hilton Worldwide is expected to follow. Hilton Worldwide Holdings right now retains a risk of 0.98%. Please check out Hilton Worldwide semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Hilton Worldwide will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.26 |
Poor predictability
Hilton Worldwide Holdings has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hilton Worldwide time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hilton Worldwide Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Hilton Worldwide price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.26 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.15 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 19.49 |
Hilton Worldwide Holdings lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Hilton Worldwide stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hilton Worldwide's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hilton Worldwide returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hilton Worldwide has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Hilton Worldwide regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hilton Worldwide stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hilton Worldwide stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hilton Worldwide stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Hilton Worldwide Lagged Returns
When evaluating Hilton Worldwide's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hilton Worldwide stock have on its future price. Hilton Worldwide autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hilton Worldwide autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hilton Worldwide stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hilton Worldwide Holdings.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Hilton Worldwide Investors Sentiment
The influence of Hilton Worldwide's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Hilton. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Hilton Worldwide's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hilton. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hilton can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Hilton Worldwide's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Hilton Worldwide's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Hilton Worldwide's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Hilton Worldwide.
Hilton Worldwide Implied Volatility | 49.28 |
Hilton Worldwide's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hilton Worldwide Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hilton Worldwide's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hilton Worldwide stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hilton Worldwide's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hilton Worldwide in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hilton Worldwide's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hilton Worldwide options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Hilton Worldwide Correlation, Hilton Worldwide Volatility and Hilton Worldwide Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hilton Worldwide. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Hilton Stock analysis
When running Hilton Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Hilton Worldwide technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.