Fvcbankcorp Stock Market Value
| FVCB Stock | USD 11.50 0.37 3.32% |
| Symbol | FVCBankcorp |
FVCBankcorp Price To Book Ratio
Is FVCBankcorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FVCBankcorp. If investors know FVCBankcorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FVCBankcorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.333 | Earnings Share 0.21 | Revenue Per Share 2.527 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.442 | Return On Assets 0.002 |
The market value of FVCBankcorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FVCBankcorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FVCBankcorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FVCBankcorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FVCBankcorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FVCBankcorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FVCBankcorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FVCBankcorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FVCBankcorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
FVCBankcorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FVCBankcorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FVCBankcorp.
| 05/06/2022 |
| 04/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in FVCBankcorp on May 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FVCBankcorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in FVCBankcorp over 720 days. FVCBankcorp is related to or competes with Home Bancorp, and Affinity Bancshares. FVCBankcorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for FVCbank that provides various banking products and services in Vir... More
FVCBankcorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FVCBankcorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FVCBankcorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.72) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.58 |
FVCBankcorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FVCBankcorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FVCBankcorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FVCBankcorp historical prices to predict the future FVCBankcorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.50) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.18) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FVCBankcorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FVCBankcorp Backtested Returns
FVCBankcorp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0954, which denotes the company had a -0.0954% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. FVCBankcorp exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm FVCBankcorp's Variance of 6.64, market risk adjusted performance of (0.17), and Standard Deviation of 2.58 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.97, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. FVCBankcorp returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, FVCBankcorp is expected to follow. FVCBankcorp has an expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to confirm FVCBankcorp potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if FVCBankcorp performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | -0.06 |
Very weak reverse predictability
FVCBankcorp has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FVCBankcorp time series from 6th of May 2022 to 1st of May 2023 and 1st of May 2023 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FVCBankcorp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current FVCBankcorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.06 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.44 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.6 |
FVCBankcorp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is FVCBankcorp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting FVCBankcorp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of FVCBankcorp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that FVCBankcorp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
FVCBankcorp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If FVCBankcorp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if FVCBankcorp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in FVCBankcorp stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
FVCBankcorp Lagged Returns
When evaluating FVCBankcorp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of FVCBankcorp stock have on its future price. FVCBankcorp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, FVCBankcorp autocorrelation shows the relationship between FVCBankcorp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in FVCBankcorp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out FVCBankcorp Correlation, FVCBankcorp Volatility and FVCBankcorp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on FVCBankcorp. For information on how to trade FVCBankcorp Stock refer to our How to Trade FVCBankcorp Stock guide.Note that the FVCBankcorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FVCBankcorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for FVCBankcorp Stock analysis
When running FVCBankcorp's price analysis, check to measure FVCBankcorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FVCBankcorp is operating at the current time. Most of FVCBankcorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FVCBankcorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FVCBankcorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FVCBankcorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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FVCBankcorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.