Denali Therapeutics Stock Market Value

DNLI Stock  USD 15.56  0.55  3.41%   
Denali Therapeutics' market value is the price at which a share of Denali Therapeutics trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Denali Therapeutics investors about its performance. Denali Therapeutics is trading at 15.56 as of the 24th of April 2024. This is a -3.41 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 16.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Denali Therapeutics and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Denali Therapeutics over a given investment horizon. Check out Denali Therapeutics Correlation, Denali Therapeutics Volatility and Denali Therapeutics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Denali Therapeutics.
For more detail on how to invest in Denali Stock please use our How to Invest in Denali Therapeutics guide.
Symbol

Denali Therapeutics Price To Book Ratio

Is Denali Therapeutics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Denali Therapeutics. If investors know Denali will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Denali Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.06)
Revenue Per Share
2.406
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(1.00)
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(0.14)
The market value of Denali Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Denali that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Denali Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Denali Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Denali Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Denali Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Denali Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Denali Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Denali Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Denali Therapeutics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Denali Therapeutics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Denali Therapeutics.
0.00
03/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Denali Therapeutics on March 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Denali Therapeutics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Denali Therapeutics over 30 days. Denali Therapeutics is related to or competes with Stoke Therapeutics, Black Diamond, 4D Molecular, Ascendis Pharma, Apellis Pharmaceuticals, BeiGene, and Akero Therapeutics. Denali Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapeutic candidates for neurodegenerati... More

Denali Therapeutics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Denali Therapeutics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Denali Therapeutics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Denali Therapeutics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Denali Therapeutics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Denali Therapeutics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Denali Therapeutics historical prices to predict the future Denali Therapeutics' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Denali Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0416.1122.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9214.9921.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.2315.3021.36
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
50.6055.6061.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Denali Therapeutics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Denali Therapeutics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Denali Therapeutics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Denali Therapeutics.

Denali Therapeutics Backtested Returns

We consider Denali Therapeutics somewhat reliable. Denali Therapeutics secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 3.0E-4, which denotes the company had a 3.0E-4% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Denali Therapeutics, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Denali Therapeutics' Coefficient Of Variation of 9305.82, downside deviation of 4.28, and Mean Deviation of 3.19 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0021%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.42, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Denali Therapeutics will likely underperform. Denali Therapeutics right now shows a risk of 6.08%. Please confirm Denali Therapeutics sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Denali Therapeutics will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.76  

Good predictability

Denali Therapeutics has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Denali Therapeutics time series from 25th of March 2024 to 9th of April 2024 and 9th of April 2024 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Denali Therapeutics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Denali Therapeutics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.76
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.44

Denali Therapeutics lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Denali Therapeutics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Denali Therapeutics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Denali Therapeutics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Denali Therapeutics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Denali Therapeutics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Denali Therapeutics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Denali Therapeutics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Denali Therapeutics stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Denali Therapeutics Lagged Returns

When evaluating Denali Therapeutics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Denali Therapeutics stock have on its future price. Denali Therapeutics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Denali Therapeutics autocorrelation shows the relationship between Denali Therapeutics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Denali Therapeutics.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Denali Therapeutics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Denali Therapeutics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Denali Therapeutics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Denali Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Denali Therapeutics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Denali Therapeutics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Denali Therapeutics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Denali Therapeutics to buy it.
The correlation of Denali Therapeutics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Denali Therapeutics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Denali Therapeutics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Denali Therapeutics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Denali Therapeutics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Denali Therapeutics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Denali Therapeutics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Denali Therapeutics Stock:
Check out Denali Therapeutics Correlation, Denali Therapeutics Volatility and Denali Therapeutics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Denali Therapeutics.
For more detail on how to invest in Denali Stock please use our How to Invest in Denali Therapeutics guide.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Denali Stock analysis

When running Denali Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Denali Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Denali Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Denali Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Denali Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Denali Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Denali Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Denali Therapeutics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Denali Therapeutics technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Denali Therapeutics trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...