Conagra Foods Stock Market Value

CAG Stock  USD 29.49  0.58  2.01%   
ConAgra Foods' market value is the price at which a share of ConAgra Foods trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ConAgra Foods investors about its performance. ConAgra Foods is trading at 29.49 as of the 28th of March 2024. This is a 2.01% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 28.92.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ConAgra Foods and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ConAgra Foods over a given investment horizon. Check out ConAgra Foods Correlation, ConAgra Foods Volatility and ConAgra Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ConAgra Foods.
For more detail on how to invest in ConAgra Stock please use our How to Invest in ConAgra Foods guide.
Symbol

ConAgra Foods Price To Book Ratio

Is ConAgra Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ConAgra Foods. If investors know ConAgra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ConAgra Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
Dividend Share
1.36
Earnings Share
2.05
Revenue Per Share
25.459
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of ConAgra Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ConAgra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ConAgra Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ConAgra Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ConAgra Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ConAgra Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ConAgra Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ConAgra Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ConAgra Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ConAgra Foods 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ConAgra Foods' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ConAgra Foods.
0.00
02/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ConAgra Foods on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ConAgra Foods or generate 0.0% return on investment in ConAgra Foods over 30 days. ConAgra Foods is related to or competes with Bunge, Altria, Philip Morris, and Everest Consolidator. Conagra Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer packaged goods food company in North Americ... More

ConAgra Foods Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ConAgra Foods' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ConAgra Foods upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ConAgra Foods Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ConAgra Foods' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ConAgra Foods' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ConAgra Foods historical prices to predict the future ConAgra Foods' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ConAgra Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.1029.4830.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.2229.6030.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.8429.2230.60
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.6330.3633.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ConAgra Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ConAgra Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ConAgra Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ConAgra Foods.

ConAgra Foods Backtested Returns

We consider ConAgra Foods very steady. ConAgra Foods secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0549, which signifies that the company had a 0.0549% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for ConAgra Foods, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm ConAgra Foods' Downside Deviation of 1.18, risk adjusted performance of 0.0393, and Mean Deviation of 0.9853 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0757%. ConAgra Foods has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.42, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ConAgra Foods' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ConAgra Foods is expected to be smaller as well. ConAgra Foods right now shows a risk of 1.38%. Please confirm ConAgra Foods maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to decide if ConAgra Foods will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

ConAgra Foods has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ConAgra Foods time series from 27th of February 2024 to 13th of March 2024 and 13th of March 2024 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ConAgra Foods price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current ConAgra Foods price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.22

ConAgra Foods lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ConAgra Foods stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ConAgra Foods' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ConAgra Foods returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ConAgra Foods has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ConAgra Foods regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ConAgra Foods stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ConAgra Foods stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ConAgra Foods stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ConAgra Foods Lagged Returns

When evaluating ConAgra Foods' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ConAgra Foods stock have on its future price. ConAgra Foods autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ConAgra Foods autocorrelation shows the relationship between ConAgra Foods stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ConAgra Foods.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

ConAgra Foods Investors Sentiment

The influence of ConAgra Foods' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in ConAgra. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to ConAgra Foods' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ConAgra. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ConAgra can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ConAgra Foods. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
ConAgra Foods' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for ConAgra Foods' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average ConAgra Foods' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on ConAgra Foods.

ConAgra Foods Implied Volatility

    
  52.3  
ConAgra Foods' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ConAgra Foods stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ConAgra Foods' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ConAgra Foods stock will not fluctuate a lot when ConAgra Foods' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ConAgra Foods in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ConAgra Foods' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ConAgra Foods options trading.

Pair Trading with ConAgra Foods

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ConAgra Foods position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ConAgra Foods will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against ConAgra Stock

  0.49BOF BranchOut Food CommonPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ConAgra Foods could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ConAgra Foods when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ConAgra Foods - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ConAgra Foods to buy it.
The correlation of ConAgra Foods is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ConAgra Foods moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ConAgra Foods moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ConAgra Foods can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether ConAgra Foods is a strong investment it is important to analyze ConAgra Foods' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ConAgra Foods' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ConAgra Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out ConAgra Foods Correlation, ConAgra Foods Volatility and ConAgra Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ConAgra Foods.
For more detail on how to invest in ConAgra Stock please use our How to Invest in ConAgra Foods guide.
Note that the ConAgra Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ConAgra Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for ConAgra Stock analysis

When running ConAgra Foods' price analysis, check to measure ConAgra Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConAgra Foods is operating at the current time. Most of ConAgra Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConAgra Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConAgra Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConAgra Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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ConAgra Foods technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of ConAgra Foods technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of ConAgra Foods trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...