Yum Brands Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

YUM Stock  USD 138.50  0.63  0.46%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Yum Brands is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Yum Brands buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding YUM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Yum Brands' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Yum Brands' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
121.35
Target Price
143.43
Hype Value
137.57
Market Value
138.5
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Yum Brands given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Yum Brands. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Yum Brands, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Yum Brands Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Yum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Yum Brands guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Yum and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Yum Brands. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Yum Brands Buy or Sell Advice

The Yum recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Yum Brands. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Yum Brands or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Yum Brands' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Yum BrandsBuy Yum Brands
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Yum Brands has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0672, Jensen Alpha of 0.0472, Total Risk Alpha of (0), Sortino Ratio of 0.0288 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1307
Macroaxis provides trade recommendation on Yum Brands to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Yum Brands. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Yum Brands is not overpriced, please check out all Yum Brands fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Yum Brands has a price to sales of 5.48 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Yum Brands market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Yum Brands Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of March 2024 Yum Brands paid $ 0.67 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Yerba Strengthens Distribution Network With Three New Partnerships

Yum Brands Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Yum Brands' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Yum Brands' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Yum Brands daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Yum Brands price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Yum Brands returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Yum Brands.
Mean Return
0.1
Value At Risk
-1.69
Potential Upside
1.55
Standard Deviation
0.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Yum Brands historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Yum Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Yum Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yum Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Yum Brands' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Yum Brands' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
3.5 M
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
3.5 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc
3.5 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
3.3 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
3.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
3.1 M
Magellan Asset Management Limited2023-12-31
2.6 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
2.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
2.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
23.4 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
23.3 M
Note, although Yum Brands' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Yum Brands Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash294M256M(253M)(124M)(75M)(71.3M)
Free Cash Flow1.1B1.1B1.5B1.1B1.3B842.7M
Depreciation137M112M146M164M153M145.4M
Other Non Cash Items159M135M90M32M(23M)(21.9M)
Dividends Paid511M566M592M649M(678M)(644.1M)
Capital Expenditures196M160M230M279M285M488.9M
Net Income1.3B904M1.6B1.3B1.6B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow768M1.0B771M647M512M602.3M
Change To Netincome15M167M(35M)61M70.2M122.3M
Change Receivables66M56M62M(46M)(52.9M)(50.3M)
Net Borrowings800M108M493M579M665.9M1.1B
Investments(88M)206M(173M)(202M)(94M)(89.3M)

Yum Brands Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Yum Brands or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Yum Brands' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Yum stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Yum Brands Volatility Alert

Yum Brands has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.13, Maximum Drawdown of 4.09 and kurtosis of -0.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Yum Brands' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Yum Brands' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Yum Brands Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Yum Brands' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Yum Brands' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Yum Brands and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Yum Brands or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Yum Brands' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yum Brands by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Yum Brands to competition
FundamentalsYum BrandsPeer Average
Return On Asset0.25-0.14
Profit Margin0.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.31 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation50.32 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding281.5 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.14 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.32 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.1 M4.71 M
Price To Earning28.82 X28.72 X
Price To Sales5.48 X11.42 X
Revenue7.08 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.31 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.46 B3.9 B
Net Income1.6 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents367 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt11.2 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.37 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.28 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(27.96) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.6 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.44 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.59 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.31 X4.89 X
Target Price145.53
Number Of Employees35 K18.84 K
Beta1.09-0.15
Market Capitalization38.85 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(7.62 B)9.33 B
Working Capital332 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.69 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities3.09 B7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 546 shares by Scott Catlett of Yum Brands at 130.27 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Yum Brands Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Yum . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Yum Brands Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Yum Brands? Buying financial instruments such as Yum Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total11.2B11.9B11.2B5.7B
Total Assets6.0B5.8B6.2B6.8B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Yum Brands in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Commodities Funds Thematic Idea Now

Commodities Funds
Commodities Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in commodities such as oil, gold, corn, soy, and agricultural goods. The Commodities Funds theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Commodities Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Yum Brands is a strong investment it is important to analyze Yum Brands' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Yum Brands' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Yum Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Yum Brands Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Yum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Yum Brands guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Is Yum Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yum Brands. If investors know Yum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yum Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.243
Dividend Share
2.42
Earnings Share
5.59
Revenue Per Share
25.181
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.008
The market value of Yum Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yum Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yum Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yum Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yum Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yum Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yum Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yum Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.