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Alleghany Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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Y -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: 5th of May 2020  

Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alleghany Corporation is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Alleghany buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Y positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alleghany available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Y buy-and-hold perspective. Check out Alleghany Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.
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Sell AlleghanyBuy Alleghany
Strong Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alleghany Corporation has a mean deviation of 3.19, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 4.84, variance of 23.39, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
Macroaxis provides buy, hold, or sell suggestion on Alleghany to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Alleghany Corporation. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Alleghany is not overpriced, please confirm all Alleghany fundamentals, including its Cash and Equivalents, Cash Flow from Operations and the relationship between Gross Profit and Debt to Equity . Given that Alleghany has Number of Shares Shorted of 160.1 K, we suggest you validate Alleghany Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alleghany Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alleghany generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Alleghany has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 1.94 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 21.4 implying that the company may be unable to produce cash to meet its debt commitments. Alleghany has Current Ratio of 0.76 which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due.
Over 84.0% of Alleghany outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 4th of March 2020 Alleghany paid $ 15.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Alleghanys Subsidiary Acquires Majority Stake in Wilbert - Nasdaq

Alleghany current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price900.00
Target Mean Price893.33
Recommendation Mean2.00
Target High Price915.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions3
Target Low Price865.00

Alleghany Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.61Value At Risk9.7
Potential Upside7.49Standard Deviation4.84
 Return Density 
    
  Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Pensionfund Dsm NetherlandsCommon Shares3.3 K1.8 M
Pensionfund SabicCommon Shares2.3 K1.3 M
Nelson Van Denburg Campbell Wealth Management Group LlcCommon Shares570314 K
Blackrock IncCommon Shares1.6 M1.3 B
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares1.4 M1.1 B
Boston PartnersCommon Shares781.7 K625.1 M
First Eagle Investment Management LlcCommon Shares617 K493.3 M

Alleghany Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.83
β
Beta against DOW=0.51
σ
Overall volatility
=4.87
Ir
Information ratio =0.04

Alleghany Volatility Alert

Alleghany Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.1 and kurtosis of 2.45. However, we advise investors to further study Alleghany Corporation technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alleghany to competition

Alleghany Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlleghanyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.001 (0.31) 
Return On Asset3.12 (0.14) 
Profit Margin0.0011 (1.27) 
Operating Margin14.94 (5.51) 
Current Valuation12.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.39 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders3.46 10.09 
Shares Owned by Institutions83.99 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted160.1 K4.71 M
Price to Earning101.56 28.72 
Price to Book1.30 9.51 
Price to Sales1.44 11.42 
Revenue7.97 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.75 B27.38 B
EBITDA394.66 M3.9 B
Net Income114.07 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.87 B2.7 B
Cash per Share129.65 5.01 
Total Debt1.94 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity21.40 48.70 
Current Ratio0.78 2.16 
Book Value Per Share382.30 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations506.89 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.81 4.00 
Earnings Per Share7.85 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth0.46 4.89 
Number of Employees10.79 K18.84 K
Beta0.71-0.15
Market Capitalization11.48 B19.03 B
Total Asset22.84 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.87 B9.33 B
Z Score1.88.72
Last Dividend Paid15.0
   Alleghany exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
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