United Paper (Thailand) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UTP Stock  THB 11.00  0.10  0.92%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding United Paper Public is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides United Paper buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UTP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of United Paper's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting United Paper's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
9.73
Hype Value
11
Market Value
11
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell United Paper Public given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards United Paper. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for United Paper Public, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out United Paper Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as United and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards United Paper Public. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute United Paper Buy or Sell Advice

The United recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on United Paper Public. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in United Paper Public or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute United Paper's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell United PaperBuy United Paper
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon United Paper Public has a Mean Deviation of 0.5104, Standard Deviation of 0.7669 and Variance of 0.5882
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on United Paper and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure United Paper Public is not overpriced, please validate all United Paper fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, revenue, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the price to book and ebitda .

United Paper Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

United Paper Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

United Paper Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of United Paper's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of United Paper's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of United Paper daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use United Paper Public price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of United Paper returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for United Paper.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-1.66
Potential Upside
0.92
Standard Deviation
0.77
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of United Paper historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

United Paper Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to United Paper or Containers & Packaging sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that United Paper's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a United stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

United Paper Volatility Alert

United Paper Public exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.07 and kurtosis of 0.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure United Paper's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact United Paper's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

United Paper Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing United Paper's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze United Paper's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between United Paper and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as United Paper or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of United Paper's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Paper by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare United Paper to competition
FundamentalsUnited PaperPeer Average
Return On Equity0.23-0.31
Return On Asset0.15-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.71 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding650 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders58.47 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.71 %39.21 %
Price To Earning8.94 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.57 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.04 X11.42 X
Revenue4.6 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.09 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.26 B3.9 B
Net Income917.43 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents353.9 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.54 X5.01 X
Total Debt354.98 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity12.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.38 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.35 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations600.64 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.42 X3.12 X
Target Price20.2
Number Of Employees2018.84 K
Beta0.83-0.15
Market Capitalization10.01 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.28 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings899 M9.33 B
Working Capital158 M1.48 B
Current Asset869 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities711 M7.9 B
Z Score17.88.72

United Paper Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as United . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About United Paper Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell United Paper Public? Buying financial instruments such as United Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having United Paper in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Aircraft Thematic Idea Now

Aircraft
Aircraft Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Aircraft theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aircraft Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out United Paper Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between United Paper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Paper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Paper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.