United Parcel Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UPS -- USA Stock  

USD 110.36  1.40  1.25%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding United Parcel Service is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides United Parcel buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UPS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of United Parcel Service available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from UPS buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell United ParcelBuy United Parcel
Strong Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon United Parcel Service has a risk adjusted performance of 0.3044, jensen alpha of 0.1353, total risk alpha of 0.0764, sortino ratio of 0.0975 and treynor ratio of 0.3591
Macroaxis provides recommendation on United Parcel Service to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on United Parcel Service. Our buy or sell recommendation engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure United Parcel Service is not overpriced, please validate all United Parcel fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Short Ratio, Five Year Return, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Total Asset . Given that United Parcel Service has Price to Earning of 19.62X, we advise you double-check United Parcel Service market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

United Parcel Thematic Classifications

Dividend Beast IdeaDividend Beast
Solid, dividend paying stocks and ETFs
Baby Boomer Prospects IdeaBaby Boomer Prospects
Mega stocks, funds and ETFs that tend to appeal to people considering retirement from the work force
Giant Impact IdeaGiant Impact
Public companies with mega capitalization

United Parcel Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.41Value At Risk2.84
Potential Upside3.48Standard Deviation2.38
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares53.5 M5.2 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares44 M4.3 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares27.5 M2.7 B
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares18.6 M1.8 B
Massachusetts Financial Services CoCommon Shares16.8 M1.6 B
Capital World InvestorsCommon Shares15.5 M1.5 B
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares12.5 M1.2 B
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options4.9 M477.8 M

United Parcel Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.14
β
Beta against DOW=1.12
σ
Overall volatility
=2.27
Ir
Information ratio =0.07

United Parcel Volatility Alert

United Parcel Service has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.53 and kurtosis of 12.56. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate United Parcel Service to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare United Parcel to competition

United Parcel Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsUnited ParcelPeer Average
Return On Equity235.60% (15.17)%
Return On Asset8.60% (15.64)%
Profit Margin6.67% (5.50)%
Operating Margin12.18% (10.91)%
Current Valuation108.26B152.14B
Shares Outstanding695.21M1.43B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.01% 6.91%
Shares Owned by Institutions68.77% 18.37%
Number of Shares Shorted12.18M3.24M
Price to Earning19.62X40.69X
Price to Book30.79X14.44X
Price to Sales1.29X17.81X
Revenue71.86B9.85B
Gross Profit32.4B21.75B
EBITDA8.75B1.41B
Net Income4.79B517.71M
Cash and Equivalents5.03B3.89B
Cash per Share5.82X5.17X
Total Debt19.93B7.36B
Debt to Equity656.20% 0.72%
Current Ratio1.12X3.30X
Book Value Per Share3.51X13.64X
Cash Flow from Operations9.88B1.25B
Short Ratio2.92X2.09X
Earnings Per Share5.51X2.30X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.23X1.22X
Number of Employees238.83K10.67K
Beta1.390.34
Market Capitalization92.77B29.78B
Total Asset38.31B126.86B
Retained Earnings4.88B38.24B
Working Capital2.51B3.58B
Current Asset13.21B36.8B
   Acquisition by Scott Price of 18853 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

United Parcel Market Momentum

United Parcel Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

United Parcel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Latest Analysts View

United Parcel Current Analysts Recommendations

Target Median Price116.00
Target Mean Price116.30
Recommendation Mean2.60
Target High Price145.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions23
Target Low Price80.00
Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all macroaxis ideas. macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
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